riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Jefferson County Disaster Risk

Jefferson County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

58th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#47

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

75th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 75% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 16% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 70% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Jefferson County, Pennsylvania

Jefferson County's risk is below average

Jefferson County scores 57.89 out of 100 for composite disaster risk, placing it in the "Relatively Low" category. This is notably lower than Pennsylvania's state average of 67.45, and well below the national median, suggesting your community faces fewer overlapping hazards than most U.S. counties.

Safest risks in central Pennsylvania

Among Pennsylvania's 67 counties, Jefferson ranks toward the lower end of disaster risk. Only a handful of counties in the state maintain composite scores below 60, making Jefferson one of the safer regions for natural disasters statewide.

More protected than nearby counties

Jefferson's 57.89 score beats neighboring Clarion and Forest counties, which face higher flood and wildfire risks. However, nearby Lawrence County (66.13) runs slightly higher risk, showing that even in relatively safe regions, adjacent areas can differ meaningfully.

Flooding and hurricanes pose the most danger

Jefferson County's highest hazard risks are flooding (74.52) and hurricane impact (69.75), both significantly above the county's overall composite score. Tornado risk (31.20) and wildfire risk (16.44) remain modest, so localized flood preparedness and seasonal storm awareness matter most here.

Flood coverage is essential

With flood risk at 74.52, standard homeowners insurance won't cover water damage—you need separate flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program or a private carrier. Consider elevation improvements or sump pumps if you live in a flood-prone area, and ensure your property has working gutters and proper drainage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Jefferson County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    75th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    70th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    35th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Jefferson County

Risk Verdict

Jefferson County ranks at the 58th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Residents are encouraged to understand which hazards dominate locally and tailor their preparedness accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Jefferson County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 75th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 70th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (35th percentile), tornado (31th percentile), wildfire (16th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Jefferson County sits at the 75th percentile nationally for flood exposure. Knowing your property's flood zone designation — available at FEMA's Flood Map Service Center — is the first step toward understanding actual exposure and insurance options. Secondary hurricane exposure at the 70th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. Regardless of specific hazard, Jefferson County households benefit from a practiced communication plan: a designated out-of-state contact and a pre-agreed evacuation destination established before the season's peak risk period.

Regional Context

A composite score 9.6 points below the Pennsylvania state average puts Jefferson County in a better-than-typical position relative to neighboring counties.

Is your household prepared for Jefferson County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Jefferson County, PA?
Jefferson County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 58th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Jefferson County?
Jefferson County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (75th percentile), hurricane (70th percentile), earthquake (35th percentile), tornado (31th percentile), wildfire (16th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 75th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Jefferson County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Jefferson County's composite risk percentile is 58th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Jefferson County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Jefferson County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Jefferson County's flooding risk is at the 75th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Jefferson County a safe place to live?
Jefferson County's composite risk score of 58th percentile is below the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 75th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.