Lycoming County Disaster Risk

Lycoming County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 80th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.

Lycoming County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (89th percentile), hurricane (75th percentile), tornado (50th percentile), earthquake (48th percentile), wildfire (27th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 89th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.

Lycoming County's composite risk percentile is 80th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Lycoming County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.

Yes, Lycoming County's flooding risk is at the 89th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.

FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.

Lycoming County's composite risk score of 80th percentile is above the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (89th percentile), along with hurricane and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.