riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Mellette County Disaster Risk

Mellette County, South Dakota

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

5th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#58

of 66 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

8th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 19% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 16% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Mellette County, South Dakota

Mellette County ranks among America's lowest-risk areas

Mellette County's composite risk score of 5.15 places it among the nation's safest areas for natural disasters, earning a "Very Low" rating that reflects exceptional resilience across most hazards. Wildfire risk (83.21) stands as a notable exception, creating a dramatic contrast with the county's otherwise minimal exposure. For most residents, natural disaster risk is negligible outside of wildfire season.

Mellette ranks among South Dakota's safest counties

Mellette County's composite risk score of 5.15 is among the very lowest in South Dakota, trailing only Miner County (3.44) and falling well below the state average of 26.84. The county's near-zero flood (8.11) and earthquake (8.08) risks anchor this advantage, though wildfire risk (83.21) presents an outlier hazard. Residents enjoy natural disaster resilience superior to nearly all other state counties.

Mellette's overall safety exceeds all nearby peers

Mellette County's composite risk of 5.15 is substantially lower than any sampled neighbor, making it one of South Dakota's safest counties for natural disasters overall. However, Mellette's wildfire risk (83.21) exceeds nearby McPherson County (70.36) and Lyman County (69.53), revealing concentrated fire vulnerability despite minimal other hazards. The county presents an unusual profile: exceptional safety coupled with notable wildfire exposure.

Wildfire dominates Mellette's limited hazard exposure

Mellette County's wildfire risk (83.21) is its sole significant natural disaster concern, standing dramatically above all other local hazards and reflecting the county's grassland and forested areas. Tornado risk (19.43), flood risk (8.11), and earthquake risk (15.94) all rank well below state and national averages. Wildfire preparedness is your primary natural disaster priority; other hazards require minimal attention.

Verify wildfire coverage despite minimal overall risk

Mellette County's elevated wildfire risk (83.21) requires that you confirm your homeowners policy includes wildfire coverage and that your property maintains defensible space standards. Given the county's exceptionally low flood and earthquake risks, separate coverage for those hazards is unnecessary unless your property is in a designated flood zone. A standard homeowners policy with wildfire inclusion provides comprehensive protection for most residents.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Mellette County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    83th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    19th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    16th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Mellette County

Risk Verdict

Mellette County's natural disaster risk is among the lowest in the country, with a composite score at the 5th percentile nationally. A preparedness foundation — alert registration, household communication plan, and a basic supply review — costs little and remains valuable even at Mellette County's favorable 5th percentile ranking.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Mellette County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 83th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 19th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (16th percentile), flood (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Mellette County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 83th percentile nationally. Mellette County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. Alongside wildfire, tornado at the 19th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. For Mellette County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

The South Dakota county average exceeds Mellette County's score by 21.7 composite points — placing this county in the lower-risk tier relative to its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for Mellette County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Mellette County, SD?
Mellette County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 5th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Mellette County?
Mellette County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (83th percentile), tornado (19th percentile), earthquake (16th percentile), flooding (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 83th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Mellette County risk compare to the South Dakota average?
Mellette County's composite risk percentile is 5th, compared to the South Dakota state average of 27th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Mellette County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in South Dakota.
Is Mellette County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Mellette County's wildfire risk is at the 83th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Mellette County is at the 8th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Mellette County a safe place to live?
Mellette County's composite risk score of 5th percentile is below the South Dakota state average of 27th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 83th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.