riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Pennington County Disaster Risk

Pennington County, South Dakota

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

79th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 66 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

76th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 76% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Pennington County, South Dakota

Pennington ranks among higher-risk regions

Pennington County scores 78.56 on the composite risk scale, placing it in the relatively low category but substantially above South Dakota's county average of 26.84. The county faces nearly threefold greater exposure than typical South Dakota counties, driven by significant wildfire, flood, and earthquake risks concentrated in the Black Hills region.

Second-highest risk in South Dakota

Pennington County ranks second only to Minnehaha County in overall disaster risk, with a composite score of 78.56 that reflects its unique hazard mix. The Black Hills terrain creates exposure to multiple simultaneous threats rarely seen elsewhere in the state.

Far riskier than western county neighbors

Pennington's composite risk of 78.56 dwarfs nearby Oglala Lakota County's 49.84, despite both counties sharing significant wildfire exposure. The difference reflects Pennington's additional vulnerability to flooding and earthquake risks concentrated around the Black Hills.

Wildfire, floods, and earthquakes threaten

Wildfire risk reaches 97.20, nearly the highest in the state, while flood risk of 75.64 reflects Black Hills terrain susceptibility. Earthquake risk of 56.90 adds a third dimension rarely significant elsewhere in South Dakota, making Pennington uniquely multi-hazard exposed.

Comprehensive multi-hazard coverage essential

Pennington County homeowners need broad coverage including wildfire, flood, and earthquake protection—a combination rare in other South Dakota counties. Work with a local insurance agent familiar with Black Hills risks, maintain 40+ feet of defensible space, and ensure evacuation readiness during fire season.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Pennington County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    76th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    61th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Pennington County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 79th, Pennington County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Pennington County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Pennington County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 76th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (61th percentile), earthquake (57th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 97th percentile nationally for wildfire risk, Pennington County households benefit from creating defensible space — a buffer of reduced vegetation around structures — and reviewing whether homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage in this region. A secondary flood exposure at the 76th percentile nationally means Pennington County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Enrolling in the county's wireless emergency alert system and keeping a vehicle at least half-full during peak fire season are low-cost habits that dramatically reduce evacuation lag time for Pennington County residents.

Regional Context

At 51.7 points above the South Dakota state average, Pennington County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical South Dakota county.

Is your household prepared for Pennington County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Pennington County, SD?
Pennington County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 79th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Pennington County?
Pennington County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (97th percentile), flooding (76th percentile), tornado (61th percentile), earthquake (57th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Pennington County risk compare to the South Dakota average?
Pennington County's composite risk percentile is 79th, compared to the South Dakota state average of 27th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Pennington County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in South Dakota.
Is Pennington County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Pennington County's wildfire risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Pennington County is at the 76th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Pennington County higher risk than average?
Pennington County's composite risk score of 79th percentile is above the South Dakota state average of 27th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (97th percentile), along with flooding and tornado and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.