riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Chester County Disaster Risk

Chester County, Tennessee

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

44th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#62

of 95 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

22th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 22% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 48% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Chester County, Tennessee

Chester County remains relatively low-risk

Chester County's composite risk score of 44.50 sits well below Tennessee's state average of 52.45, indicating below-average vulnerability to natural disasters. The county's relatively low rating reflects a manageable multi-hazard environment compared to much of the state.

Among Tennessee's lowest-risk counties

Chester County ranks in the lowest tier of Tennessee's 95 counties by disaster risk, with a score of 44.50 that reflects relatively modest natural hazard exposure. This favorable positioning offers residents and businesses a more stable environment for long-term planning.

Safest of its immediate peer group

Chester County's 44.50 score makes it the safest of its regional neighbors, including Carroll County (72.81) to the north and Cheatham County (46.28) to the west. This favorable comparison underscores Chester's position in a lower-risk pocket of West Tennessee.

Tornadoes and earthquakes exceed local norms

Tornado risk (71.76) and earthquake risk (90.11) represent Chester County's main vulnerabilities, both notably above the state average despite the county's overall low composite score. Flood and wildfire risks remain minimal at 21.79 and 14.54 respectively.

Earthquake coverage and storm shelter priority

Chester County residents should obtain standalone earthquake insurance to address the county's surprisingly high 90.11 seismic risk score. Adding a basement safe room or reinforced interior space for tornadoes (71.76 risk) provides cost-effective protection without extensive structural upgrades.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Chester County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    90th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    72th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    48th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Chester County

Risk Verdict

Chester County's FEMA risk score places it at the 44th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. Residents of Chester County can use the 44th percentile ranking as a baseline, while recognizing that individual properties may still lie in specific hazard zones that differ from the county average.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Chester County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 90th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 72th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (48th percentile), flood (22th percentile), wildfire (15th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With earthquake ranked as the top hazard at the 90th percentile nationally, Chester County residents benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance: standard policies rarely cover earthquake damage, and separate earthquake insurance must be purchased before an event. The county's tornado risk at the 72th percentile nationally is a seasonal consideration alongside the year-round earthquake threat, requiring awareness of both hazard types. Earthquake insurance in Chester County is typically offered as a separate policy — standard homeowners coverage excludes ground movement. Reviewing this gap and comparing policy options before an event is a financial preparedness step with potentially large consequences.

Regional Context

At 8.0 points below the Tennessee state average, Chester County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Chester County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Chester County, TN?
Chester County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 44th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Chester County?
Chester County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (90th percentile), tornado (72th percentile), hurricane (48th percentile), flooding (22th percentile), wildfire (15th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 90th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Chester County risk compare to the Tennessee average?
Chester County's composite risk percentile is 44th, compared to the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Chester County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Tennessee.
Is Chester County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Chester County's earthquake risk is at the 90th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Chester County is at the 22th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Chester County a safe place to live?
Chester County's composite risk score of 44th percentile is below the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 90th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.