riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Cumberland County Disaster Risk

Cumberland County, Tennessee

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

67th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#31

of 95 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

58th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 51% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Cumberland County, Tennessee

Cumberland Runs Above Average Risk

Cumberland County's composite risk score of 67.24 with a Relatively Low rating exceeds the national average, placing it in the upper-middle tier of U.S. county risk profiles. This elevated exposure stems from significant wildfire, tornado, and earthquake hazards.

Among Tennessee's Riskier Counties

At 67.24, Cumberland ranks notably above Tennessee's state average of 52.45, making it one of the state's higher-risk counties. Its wildfire score of 72.55 is particularly distinctive within the state context.

High Risk in Its Region

Cumberland's 67.24 composite risk significantly exceeds nearby DeKalb (25.48) and Crockett (52.58), though it trails Davidson County's extreme 97.17 score. The county's wildfire risk of 72.55 stands out even among its neighbors.

Wildfire and Tornado Dominate Exposure

Wildfire risk reaches 72.55 and tornado risk climbs to 86.07—both well above state averages—making these Cumberland's defining hazards. Earthquake risk of 85.37 adds additional concern, while flood risk at 58.43 remains notable.

Wildfire and Tornado Coverage Essential

Bundle your homeowners policy with specific wildfire and tornado riders to address Cumberland's elevated composite exposure of 67.24. Verify that your coverage includes debris removal and temporary housing, common needs after major storm events in this county.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Cumberland County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    86th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    85th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    73th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Cumberland County

Risk Verdict

Cumberland County ranks at the 67th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Residents are encouraged to understand which hazards dominate locally and tailor their preparedness accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Cumberland County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 86th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 85th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (73th percentile), flood (58th percentile), hurricane (51th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Cumberland County ranks at the 86th percentile nationally for tornado exposure. Unlike many slow-onset hazards, tornadoes in Cumberland County can reach full intensity in minutes; a pre-practiced household shelter plan matters far more than stockpiled supplies. Alongside tornado exposure, earthquake at the 85th percentile nationally means Cumberland County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. Cumberland County county emergency management typically publishes annual severe-weather preparedness guides tailored to local tornado patterns; households benefit from reviewing these before storm season begins each spring.

Regional Context

Compared to other Tennessee counties, Cumberland County runs 14.8 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Cumberland County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Cumberland County, TN?
Cumberland County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 67th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Cumberland County?
Cumberland County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (86th percentile), earthquake (85th percentile), wildfire (73th percentile), flooding (58th percentile), hurricane (51th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 86th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Cumberland County risk compare to the Tennessee average?
Cumberland County's composite risk percentile is 67th, compared to the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Cumberland County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Tennessee.
Is Cumberland County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Cumberland County's tornado risk is at the 86th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Cumberland County is at the 58th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Cumberland County higher risk than average?
Cumberland County's composite risk score of 67th percentile is above the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (86th percentile), along with earthquake and wildfire and flooding and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.