riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Grainger County Disaster Risk

Grainger County, Tennessee

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

19th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#84

of 95 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

34th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 49% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 25% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Grainger County, Tennessee

Grainger County ranks among safest in nation

Grainger County's composite risk score of 18.61 places it in the Very Low risk category, making it one of the safest counties in the United States. The county benefits from lower-than-average exposure to most natural hazards, though earthquake risk remains moderate at 67.56.

Tennessee's safest county by risk score

Grainger County's 18.61 score is the lowest in Tennessee, sitting far below the state average of 52.45. Only a handful of other Tennessee counties approach this level of safety, making Grainger an exceptional outlier in the state's natural hazard landscape.

Significantly safer than surrounding areas

Grainger County's very low composite risk (18.61) stands in stark contrast to neighbors like Union County and Campbell County. Its 18.61 score makes it one of East Tennessee's safest communities, with substantially lower hazard exposure than counties to the north and south.

Earthquake risk moderately elevated

Earthquake risk (67.56) emerges as Grainger County's primary hazard concern, though still moderate compared to nearby East Tennessee counties. Wildfire risk (48.70) ranks second, reflecting the county's partly forested terrain and seasonal dry conditions that occasionally spark fires.

Standard coverage typically sufficient

Grainger County residents enjoy unusually low overall natural disaster risk and can typically rely on standard homeowners insurance policies. Consider adding earthquake coverage as an optional rider to protect against seismic activity, and review wildfire provisions if your property sits near wooded areas.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Grainger County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    68th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    49th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    39th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Grainger County

Risk Verdict

Grainger County's overall natural disaster score at the 19th percentile puts it well below the national median for hazard exposure. At the 19th percentile, Grainger County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Grainger County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 68th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 49th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (39th percentile), flood (34th percentile), hurricane (25th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Earthquake exposure at the 68th percentile nationally puts Grainger County in a zone where utilities — gas, water, electrical — are the most common post-quake hazard. Knowing how to shut off the main gas valve is an important household skill to develop before an event occurs. Wildfire at the 49th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Grainger County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. Grainger County households benefit from keeping shoes and a flashlight near the bed — post-earthquake navigation through debris in the dark is a common cause of secondary injury. This low-cost step has outsized protective value.

Regional Context

Grainger County's composite risk score sits 33.8 points below the Tennessee county average, reflecting a more favorable hazard environment than the state typical.

Is your household prepared for Grainger County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Grainger County, TN?
Grainger County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 19th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Grainger County?
Grainger County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (68th percentile), wildfire (49th percentile), tornado (39th percentile), flooding (34th percentile), hurricane (25th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 68th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Grainger County risk compare to the Tennessee average?
Grainger County's composite risk percentile is 19th, compared to the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Grainger County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Tennessee.
Is Grainger County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Grainger County's earthquake risk is at the 68th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Grainger County is at the 34th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Grainger County a safe place to live?
Grainger County's composite risk score of 19th percentile is below the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 68th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.