riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Knox County Disaster Risk

Knox County, Tennessee

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

92th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#4

of 95 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

93th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 63% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Knox County, Tennessee

Knox County faces highest state risks

Knox County scores 92.11 on the composite risk scale, placing it in the relatively moderate category and significantly above Tennessee's state average of 52.45. This elevated rating reflects substantial exposure across nearly all major natural hazard types.

Highest-risk county in Tennessee

With a score of 92.11, Knox County ranks as Tennessee's highest-risk county for natural disaster exposure, nearly double the state average of 52.45. The county faces compounding hazards across tornadoes, earthquakes, floods, and windstorms—requiring comprehensive preparedness.

Far exceeds neighboring counties

Knox County (92.11) dramatically outpaces all neighboring counties in composite risk, with scores nearly 2-3 times higher than surrounding areas. The county's tornado risk (96.72) and earthquake risk (96.76) both rank among the nation's highest, substantially exceeding regional peers.

Multiple severe hazards converge

Knox County faces exceptional tornado risk (96.72) and earthquake risk (96.76)—among the highest in the nation—while also dealing with significant flood risk (92.78) and elevated wildfire exposure (62.98). This convergence of multiple major hazards makes Knox one of Tennessee's most disaster-prone counties.

Comprehensive multi-hazard coverage critical

Knox County homeowners should obtain full coverage for tornadoes, earthquakes, floods, and windstorms through policies or additional riders, as standard homeowners insurance excludes floods and earthquakes. Safe room construction, emergency supplies, and detailed family disaster plans are essential given the county's exceptional, compounding hazard exposure.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Knox County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    97th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    93th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Knox County

Risk Verdict

At the 92th percentile nationally, Knox County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Knox County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Knox County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 97th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (93th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), wildfire (63th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With earthquake ranked as the top hazard at the 97th percentile nationally, Knox County residents benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance: standard policies rarely cover earthquake damage, and separate earthquake insurance must be purchased before an event. Tornado at the 97th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Knox County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. Earthquake insurance in Knox County is typically offered as a separate policy — standard homeowners coverage excludes ground movement. Reviewing this gap and comparing policy options before an event is a financial preparedness step with potentially large consequences.

Regional Context

The Tennessee county average is 39.7 composite points below Knox County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Knox County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Knox County, TN?
Knox County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 92th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Knox County?
Knox County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (97th percentile), tornado (97th percentile), flooding (93th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), wildfire (63th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Knox County risk compare to the Tennessee average?
Knox County's composite risk percentile is 92th, compared to the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Knox County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Tennessee.
Is Knox County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Knox County's earthquake risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Knox County is at the 93th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Knox County higher risk than average?
Knox County's composite risk score of 92th percentile is above the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (97th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and hurricane and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.