riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lincoln County Disaster Risk

Lincoln County, Tennessee

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

59th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#44

of 95 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

57th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 80% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 54% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lincoln County, Tennessee

Lincoln County faces moderate risk

Lincoln County scores 58.91 on the composite risk index with a Relatively Low rating, but this exceeds Tennessee's average of 52.45 by 6.5 points. The county's risk is distributed across tornado, flood, and earthquake hazards.

Middle-of-pack risk in Tennessee

Lincoln County ranks near the median among Tennessee's counties for natural disaster risk. Its composite score places it slightly above average relative to state peers, driven by solid tornado and flood exposure.

Similar risk to Lawrence and Marion

Lincoln County's 58.91 score closely mirrors Lawrence (69.66) and Marion (58.24) counties to the north, making this a moderately consistent risk zone in south-central Tennessee. All three counties face meaningful tornado and flood threats.

Tornadoes and floods pose real threats

Tornadoes are your primary risk at 85.56, followed closely by flood exposure at 57.00—both above state averages. Earthquakes also register notable concern at 80.44, creating a three-tiered hazard landscape.

Combine flood and storm insurance

Flood insurance is important for Lincoln County given its 57.00 flood risk; obtain a separate policy through the National Flood Insurance Program. Ensure comprehensive windstorm and hail coverage rounds out your tornado protection.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lincoln County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    86th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    80th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    57th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lincoln County

Risk Verdict

Lincoln County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 59th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Lincoln County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Lincoln County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 86th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 80th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (57th percentile), hurricane (54th percentile), wildfire (15th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado risk is Lincoln County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 86th percentile nationally. For Lincoln County households, the most protective action available is identifying a reinforced interior room on the lowest floor — a bathroom, closet, or central hallway away from windows. The secondary earthquake hazard at the 80th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Lincoln County's preparedness calendar, since earthquake and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. A battery-powered NOAA All Hazards weather radio with an auto-alert tone is the highest-leverage single item for tornado preparedness in Lincoln County, since it delivers warnings even when power is out and phone networks are congested.

Regional Context

Lincoln County's composite risk score sits 6.5 points above the Tennessee county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Lincoln County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lincoln County, TN?
Lincoln County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 59th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lincoln County?
Lincoln County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (86th percentile), earthquake (80th percentile), flooding (57th percentile), hurricane (54th percentile), wildfire (15th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 86th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lincoln County risk compare to the Tennessee average?
Lincoln County's composite risk percentile is 59th, compared to the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Lincoln County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Tennessee.
Is Lincoln County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Lincoln County's tornado risk is at the 86th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Lincoln County is at the 57th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Lincoln County higher risk than average?
Lincoln County's composite risk score of 59th percentile is above the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (86th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.