riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Sullivan County Disaster Risk

Sullivan County, Tennessee

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

71th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#25

of 95 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

82th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 47% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Sullivan County, Tennessee

Sullivan County faces elevated risks

Sullivan County's composite risk score of 71.47 exceeds the national average, earning a Relatively Low overall rating. This score reflects genuine exposure to multiple hazard types that deserve your attention and preparation.

Middle of the risk pack statewide

Sullivan County ranks at 71.47, slightly above Tennessee's state average of 52.45, placing it in the moderate-risk group. You face more exposure than the safest counties but less than the state's highest-risk areas.

Higher risk than mountain neighbors

Sullivan County's 71.47 score is notably higher than nearby Unicoi County (10.59) and Union County (12.88), despite their proximity. Your location in the northern foothills exposes you to different hazard patterns than your higher-elevation neighbors.

Flooding and earthquakes drive risk

Flood risk stands at 81.62 and earthquake risk at 87.25, making these your primary concerns. Tornado risk is moderate at 47.23, while hurricane exposure is notable at 54.69 despite your inland location.

Invest in flood and earthquake coverage

Given your 81.62 flood risk, separate flood insurance is essential—it's not included in standard homeowners policies. Add earthquake coverage and ensure proper drainage around your foundation to mitigate water intrusion during heavy rainfall.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Sullivan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    87th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    82th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    55th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Sullivan County

Risk Verdict

Sullivan County's FEMA risk score places it at the 71th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Sullivan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 87th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 82th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (55th percentile), tornado (47th percentile), wildfire (36th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With earthquake ranked as the top hazard at the 87th percentile nationally, Sullivan County residents benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance: standard policies rarely cover earthquake damage, and separate earthquake insurance must be purchased before an event. Alongside earthquake exposure, Sullivan County's flood risk at the 82th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. Earthquake insurance in Sullivan County is typically offered as a separate policy — standard homeowners coverage excludes ground movement. Reviewing this gap and comparing policy options before an event is a financial preparedness step with potentially large consequences.

Regional Context

The Tennessee county average is 19.0 composite points below Sullivan County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Sullivan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Sullivan County, TN?
Sullivan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 71th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Sullivan County?
Sullivan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (87th percentile), flooding (82th percentile), hurricane (55th percentile), tornado (47th percentile), wildfire (36th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 87th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Sullivan County risk compare to the Tennessee average?
Sullivan County's composite risk percentile is 71th, compared to the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Sullivan County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Tennessee.
Is Sullivan County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Sullivan County's earthquake risk is at the 87th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Sullivan County is at the 82th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Sullivan County higher risk than average?
Sullivan County's composite risk score of 71th percentile is above the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (87th percentile), along with flooding and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.