riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Sumner County Disaster Risk

Sumner County, Tennessee

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

88th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#7

of 95 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

89th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Sumner County, Tennessee

Sumner County faces substantial risk

Sumner County's composite risk score of 87.66 substantially exceeds the national average, earning a Relatively Moderate rating. This elevated score reflects serious exposure across multiple hazard types that demand proactive preparation.

Among Tennessee's riskiest counties

At 87.66, Sumner County scores 67% higher than Tennessee's state average of 52.45, placing it in the upper tier of risk statewide. You face greater disaster exposure than the vast majority of Tennessee counties.

Riskier than surrounding areas

Sumner County's 87.66 score substantially exceeds Tipton County (81.04) and significantly surpasses Sullivan County (71.47) to the east. Your location in the central Nashville region concentrates exposure to tornadoes and flooding.

Tornadoes and flooding dominate

Tornado risk of 95.55 ranks among the highest in the state, while flood risk at 88.64 creates dual exposure. Earthquake risk (91.70) also ranks notably high, though less frequent than tornado and flood events.

Prioritize flood and storm protection

Flood insurance is non-negotiable with a score of 88.64—standard homeowners policies exclude flood damage. Install or reinforce a safe room for tornado shelter, ensure sump pump backup power, and document all property with photos for insurance claims.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Sumner County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    96th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    92th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    89th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Sumner County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard risk in Sumner County is higher than the majority of U.S. counties, with a national composite rank of 88th. Sumner County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Sumner County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 96th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 92th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (89th percentile), wildfire (38th percentile), hurricane (33th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Ranked at the 96th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Sumner County is in a zone where storm shelters have the highest per-dollar protective value of any mitigation investment. Sumner County's county shelter map is typically available through the local emergency management office. Earthquake is the second hazard driver for Sumner County at the 92th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and earthquake-specific warning systems. Sumner County residents can check the county's emergency management website for community shelter locations nearest their address — a step worth completing now, not during a warning.

Regional Context

A composite score 35.2 points above the Tennessee state average puts Sumner County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Sumner County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Sumner County, TN?
Sumner County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 88th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Sumner County?
Sumner County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (96th percentile), earthquake (92th percentile), flooding (89th percentile), wildfire (38th percentile), hurricane (33th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 96th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Sumner County risk compare to the Tennessee average?
Sumner County's composite risk percentile is 88th, compared to the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Sumner County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Tennessee.
Is Sumner County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Sumner County's tornado risk is at the 96th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Sumner County is at the 89th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Sumner County higher risk than average?
Sumner County's composite risk score of 88th percentile is above the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (96th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.