riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Armstrong County Disaster Risk

Armstrong County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

20th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#191

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

1th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 74% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 12% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 0% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Armstrong County, Texas

Armstrong County ranks very low

Armstrong County's composite risk score of 20.04 places it in the very low risk category and well below the national average. This Texas Panhandle location enjoys substantially lower natural disaster exposure than most U.S. counties.

Well below Texas state average

Armstrong County's 20.04 score sits far below Texas's state average of 49.00, making it one of the safer Texas communities for natural hazard exposure. Residents face significantly reduced risk compared to most state peers.

Low risk in Panhandle region

Armstrong County's 20.04 composite score reflects the generally lower hazard exposure typical of the Texas Panhandle. The county's risk profile aligns with the region's geographic characteristics.

Wildfire is the main hazard

Wildfire risk reaches 74.43 in Armstrong County, making it the most significant natural hazard threat despite the county's overall very low composite score. All other hazards—tornado (24.01), earthquake (12.21), flood (1.34)—remain minimal, and hurricane risk is zero.

Wildfire awareness with peace of mind

Although Armstrong County faces very low overall disaster risk, wildfire exposure at 74.43 warrants basic brush management and clearing vegetation near structures. Standard homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage; the county's low overall risk means insurance should be affordable and straightforward.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Armstrong County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    74th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    24th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    12th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Armstrong County

Risk Verdict

Armstrong County carries a low natural disaster risk burden, scoring at the 20th percentile under the FEMA National Risk Index. The 20th percentile national ranking is one lens; Armstrong County residents also benefit from reviewing which specific hazard types drive the county's composite score and preparing accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Armstrong County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 74th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 24th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (12th percentile), flood (1th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as Armstrong County's primary hazard at the 74th percentile nationally. For Armstrong County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. A secondary tornado exposure at the 24th percentile nationally means Armstrong County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Armstrong County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Compared to the Texas county average, Armstrong County's composite score runs 29.0 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Armstrong County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Armstrong County, TX?
Armstrong County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 20th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Armstrong County?
Armstrong County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (74th percentile), tornado (24th percentile), earthquake (12th percentile), flooding (1th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 74th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Armstrong County risk compare to the Texas average?
Armstrong County's composite risk percentile is 20th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Armstrong County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Armstrong County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Armstrong County's wildfire risk is at the 74th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Armstrong County is at the 1th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Armstrong County a safe place to live?
Armstrong County's composite risk score of 20th percentile is below the Texas state average of 49th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 74th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.