Bailey County Disaster Risk
Bailey County, Texas
FEMA Risk Rating
Very Low
National Percentile
42th
of 3,144 counties
State Rank
#143
of 254 (1 = highest risk)
Flood Risk
14th
percentile
Hazard Risk Breakdown
Flood
River, coastal, and surface flooding risk
Very Low
Higher than 14% of US counties
Wildfire
Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk
Moderate
Higher than 89% of US counties
Tornado
Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk
Very Low
Higher than 42% of US counties
Earthquake
Seismic activity and ground shaking risk
Very Low
Higher than 24% of US counties
Hurricane
Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk
Very Low
Higher than 38% of US counties
Risk Overview
About Natural Disaster Risk in Bailey County, Texas
Bailey County's Risk: Well Below National Average
Bailey County scores 42.43 on the composite risk index, landing in the Very Low category and well beneath the national average. This West Texas county faces significantly less overall natural disaster risk than most American counties, reflecting its location on the relatively stable High Plains.
Among Texas's Safest Counties
Bailey County ranks among the lowest-risk counties in Texas, with a composite score of 42.43 compared to the state average of 49.00. Its Very Low risk rating puts it in the upper tier of safety for the state.
Safer Than Regional Neighbors
Bailey County's score of 42.43 beats nearby Parmer and Cochran counties in overall resilience. Its isolation on the plains and distance from major weather systems keeps it more protected than counties further east.
Wildfire Is Your Primary Concern
Wildfire risk dominates Bailey County's profile at 88.90, driven by dry conditions and grassland terrain. Tornado risk (42.40) and hurricane risk (38.30) pose secondary threats, though they remain moderate compared to the wildfire hazard.
Prioritize Wildfire and Wind Coverage
Homeowners should ensure comprehensive coverage for wildfire damage and secure wind/hail protection, even though overall risk is low. A standard homeowners policy with adequate limits protects against the county's primary hazards.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor
Preparedness Guide
What to Prepare for in Bailey County
Top Hazards by Exposure
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)
Risk Advisory: Bailey County
Risk Verdict
Compared to the nation's 3,144 counties, Bailey County ranks at the 42th percentile for natural disaster risk — toward the safer end of the spectrum. At the 42th percentile, Bailey County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.
Hazard Breakdown
Wildfire risk is Bailey County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 89th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 42th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (38th percentile), earthquake (24th percentile), flood (14th percentile).
Preparedness Context
Bailey County sits at the 89th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Bailey County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. A secondary tornado exposure at the 42th percentile nationally means Bailey County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. In Bailey County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.
Regional Context
At 6.6 points below the Texas state average, Bailey County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.
Is your household prepared for Bailey County's hazards?
Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Bailey County, TX?
What types of natural hazards affect Bailey County?
How does Bailey County risk compare to the Texas average?
Is Bailey County at risk for wildfire?
How is natural disaster risk measured?
Is Bailey County a safe place to live?
Data Source
Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.
Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.