riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Dawson County Disaster Risk

Dawson County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

39th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#149

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

19th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 19% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Dawson County, Texas

Dawson County enjoys below-average risk

Dawson County's composite risk score of 38.74 ranks as "Very Low," sitting well below the national average. This West Texas county experiences notably less overall natural disaster exposure than most American counties.

Among Texas's safest counties

At 38.74, Dawson County scores significantly lower than the Texas state average of 49.00, placing it in the safer tier statewide. Residents here benefit from geographic and climate conditions that reduce exposure to the state's most common hazards.

Safer than surrounding West Texas counties

Dawson's score of 38.74 compares favorably to Deaf Smith County (61.80) and Dimmit County (35.88), though wildfire risk (56.97) remains the shared concern across the region. The county's relatively flat terrain and sparse development help buffer against multiple hazard types.

Wildfire poses the clearest threat

Wildfire risk of 56.97 is Dawson's primary concern, significantly higher than its flood (18.77) and earthquake (17.43) scores. Tornado risk (52.13) and hurricane risk (34.29) remain manageable but warrant preparedness planning.

Focus insurance on wind and wildfire

Standard homeowners insurance covers wildfire and wind damage, but residents should verify adequate coverage limits given the 56.97 wildfire score. While flood and earthquake risks are low, maintaining a defensible space around your home and clearing gutters are cost-effective protections.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Dawson County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    57th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    52th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    34th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Dawson County

Risk Verdict

Compared to the nation's 3,144 counties, Dawson County ranks at the 39th percentile for natural disaster risk — toward the safer end of the spectrum. A preparedness foundation — alert registration, household communication plan, and a basic supply review — costs little and remains valuable even at Dawson County's favorable 39th percentile ranking.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Dawson County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 57th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 52th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (34th percentile), flood (19th percentile), earthquake (17th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Dawson County sits at the 57th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Dawson County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. The county's tornado exposure at the 52th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. In Dawson County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

At 10.3 points below the Texas state average, Dawson County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Dawson County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Dawson County, TX?
Dawson County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 39th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Dawson County?
Dawson County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (57th percentile), tornado (52th percentile), hurricane (34th percentile), flooding (19th percentile), earthquake (17th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 57th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Dawson County risk compare to the Texas average?
Dawson County's composite risk percentile is 39th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Dawson County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Dawson County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Dawson County's wildfire risk is at the 57th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Dawson County is at the 19th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Dawson County a safe place to live?
Dawson County's composite risk score of 39th percentile is below the Texas state average of 49th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 57th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.