riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Henderson County Disaster Risk

Henderson County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

85th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#36

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

73th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 75% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 51% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Henderson County, Texas

Henderson sits solidly above national risk

Henderson County's composite risk score of 84.54 places it in the "Relatively Moderate" category, meaningfully higher than the national average. This elevated exposure reflects the east Texas county's vulnerability to severe weather and flooding.

Higher-risk than most Texas counties

With a score of 84.54 versus Texas's state average of 49.00, Henderson ranks among the higher-risk counties in the state. The county's position in east Texas exposes it to hazards that exceed typical statewide exposure.

Most threatened county in east Texas cluster

Henderson County's 84.54 score exceeds nearby Hopkins County (71.22) and Hill County (72.96), making it the highest-risk county in its region. Only Hays County and Hidalgo County statewide face greater overall composite risk.

Tornadoes and floods are your chief dangers

Tornado risk stands at 93.54, the second-highest statewide, while flood risk reaches 72.87, creating a one-two punch of severe weather threats. Wildfire risk of 75.48 adds a third significant hazard to the county's profile.

Strengthen tornado and flood protections

With tornado risk above 93 and flood risk above 72, Henderson residents need comprehensive homeowners insurance plus separate flood coverage and storm shelters. Ensure your policy covers wind damage from severe storms and verify flood coverage extends to your property's actual risk zone.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Henderson County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    94th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    75th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    73th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Henderson County

Risk Verdict

At the 85th percentile nationally, Henderson County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Henderson County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Henderson County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 94th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 75th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (73th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), earthquake (51th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 94th percentile nationally makes Henderson County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. The secondary wildfire hazard at the 75th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Henderson County's preparedness calendar, since wildfire and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. In Henderson County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Texas county average is 35.5 composite points below Henderson County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Henderson County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Henderson County, TX?
Henderson County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 85th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Henderson County?
Henderson County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (94th percentile), wildfire (75th percentile), flooding (73th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), earthquake (51th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 94th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Henderson County risk compare to the Texas average?
Henderson County's composite risk percentile is 85th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Henderson County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Henderson County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Henderson County's tornado risk is at the 94th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Henderson County is at the 73th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Henderson County higher risk than average?
Henderson County's composite risk score of 85th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (94th percentile), along with wildfire and flooding and hurricane and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.