riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Howard County Disaster Risk

Howard County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

55th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#127

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

45th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 45% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 23% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Howard County, Texas

Howard County's balanced risk picture

Howard County scores 54.80 on the composite risk scale, moderately above the national average and reflecting a relatively low overall rating despite serious wildfire exposure. The score places the county in a middle-risk band nationally, with hazards concentrated in specific threat types rather than spread across all categories.

Slightly elevated above Texas average

At 54.80, Howard County runs slightly above Texas's state average composite risk of 49.00, positioning it in the moderate-risk tier among Texas counties. The elevation is driven almost entirely by an exceptional wildfire risk score of 89.47, one of the highest in the state.

Wildfire hotspot among peers

Howard County's wildfire risk of 89.47 substantially exceeds neighboring Mitchell, Martin, and Glasscock counties, making it a wildfire hotspot in the Permian Basin region. While tornado risk at 66.09 matches regional norms, the wildfire threat profile sets Howard apart as notably higher-risk.

Wildfire risk dominates the landscape

Wildfire represents the county's paramount hazard with a risk score of 89.47, reflecting the dry climate and vegetation patterns of West Texas ranching country. Tornado risk at 66.09 and flood risk at 45.42 present secondary concerns, while hurricane risk remains minimal at 33.92.

Prioritize wildfire-specific protections now

Howard County homeowners should verify their policies explicitly cover wildfire damage, as standard coverage often excludes or limits fire-related losses. Defensible space maintenance around homes—clearing brush, trimming trees, and reducing fuel load—provides critical protection alongside comprehensive insurance.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Howard County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    89th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    66th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    45th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Howard County

Risk Verdict

Howard County's FEMA risk score places it at the 55th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Howard County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 89th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 66th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (45th percentile), hurricane (34th percentile), earthquake (23th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Howard County sits at the 89th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Howard County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. A secondary tornado exposure at the 66th percentile nationally means Howard County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. In Howard County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

The Texas county average is 5.8 composite points below Howard County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Howard County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Howard County, TX?
Howard County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 55th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Howard County?
Howard County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (89th percentile), tornado (66th percentile), flooding (45th percentile), hurricane (34th percentile), earthquake (23th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 89th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Howard County risk compare to the Texas average?
Howard County's composite risk percentile is 55th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Howard County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Howard County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Howard County's wildfire risk is at the 89th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Howard County is at the 45th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Howard County higher risk than average?
Howard County's composite risk score of 55th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (89th percentile), along with tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.