riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

McCulloch County Disaster Risk

McCulloch County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

10th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#215

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

17th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 29% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in McCulloch County, Texas

McCulloch County ranks among nation's safest

McCulloch County's composite risk score of 10.05 places it among the lowest-risk counties in the United States, well below the national average. The county's "Very Low" rating reflects exceptional safety across most natural hazard categories. This extraordinary favorable profile makes McCulloch County one of America's most secure locations for residents and property owners.

Texas' safest or near-safest county overall

McCulloch County ranks as one of Texas' lowest-risk counties with a score of 10.05, dramatically below the state average of 49.00. The county's position in the Hill Country avoids Atlantic hurricane paths, tornado corridors, and major seismic zones that threaten other Texas regions. This geographic advantage creates unparalleled disaster safety within the state.

Tied with Mason County as safest in region

McCulloch County (10.05) ranks alongside Mason County (10.97) as the two safest counties in West Texas and the Hill Country region. Martin County (19.97) follows as the next-safest option, with Lynn County (23.00) completing the low-risk quartet. McCulloch's exceptional safety stands in stark contrast to higher-risk South Texas and coastal counties.

Wildfire is the only meaningful hazard

Wildfire risk (69.34) is McCulloch County's sole significant natural hazard concern, driven by Hill Country brush and grasslands. All other hazards measure exceptionally low: tornado (29.48), hurricane (30.62), flood (16.83), and earthquake (6.04). This narrow risk profile greatly simplifies disaster preparedness compared to multi-hazard counties.

Wildfire defense is your main insurance need

Homeowners should implement wildfire-defensible space with cleared brush, fire-resistant landscaping, and hardened roofing, addressing the 69.34 wildfire risk. Standard homeowners insurance covering basic wind and weather is more than adequate for the county's minimal tornado and hurricane threats. Flood and earthquake insurance are unnecessary for nearly all McCulloch County properties given their exceptionally low risk scores.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in McCulloch County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    69th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    31th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    29th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: McCulloch County

Risk Verdict

McCulloch County's natural disaster risk is among the lowest in the country, with a composite score at the 10th percentile nationally. Being ranked at the 10th percentile nationally is an advantage for McCulloch County — it means fewer statistically likely events, though basic readiness ensures households are covered when exceptions occur.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is McCulloch County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 69th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 31th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (29th percentile), flood (17th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is McCulloch County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 69th percentile nationally. McCulloch County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. The county's hurricane exposure at the 31th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. For McCulloch County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

The Texas county average exceeds McCulloch County's score by 39.0 composite points — placing this county in the lower-risk tier relative to its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for McCulloch County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in McCulloch County, TX?
McCulloch County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 10th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect McCulloch County?
McCulloch County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (69th percentile), hurricane (31th percentile), tornado (29th percentile), flooding (17th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 69th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does McCulloch County risk compare to the Texas average?
McCulloch County's composite risk percentile is 10th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means McCulloch County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is McCulloch County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, McCulloch County's wildfire risk is at the 69th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, McCulloch County is at the 17th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is McCulloch County a safe place to live?
McCulloch County's composite risk score of 10th percentile is below the Texas state average of 49th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 69th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.