Medina County Disaster Risk
Medina County, Texas
FEMA Risk Rating
Relatively Low
National Percentile
69th
of 3,144 counties
State Rank
#84
of 254 (1 = highest risk)
Flood Risk
77th
percentile
Hazard Risk Breakdown
Flood
River, coastal, and surface flooding risk
Relatively Low
Higher than 77% of US counties
Wildfire
Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk
Moderate
Higher than 85% of US counties
Tornado
Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk
Relatively Low
Higher than 61% of US counties
Earthquake
Seismic activity and ground shaking risk
Very Low
Higher than 15% of US counties
Hurricane
Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk
Relatively Low
Higher than 59% of US counties
Risk Overview
About Natural Disaster Risk in Medina County, Texas
Medina's risk runs moderately above average
Medina County's composite risk score of 68.70 exceeds the national average of roughly 50, earning a Relatively Low rating overall. The county faces meaningful but manageable exposure to several disaster types, primarily from weather-related hazards.
Middle-of-the-road within Texas
At 68.70, Medina's score sits above Texas's state average of 49.00, placing it in the moderate-risk zone among the state's counties. The county is notably less vulnerable than high-risk neighbors like Midland but more exposed than its safest peers.
Riskier than some, safer than McLennan
Medina's score of 68.70 exceeds nearby Milam County (58.08) and Mills County (5.60) but remains well below McLennan County (91.22). Its balanced risk profile reflects a mix of flood, wildfire, and tornado exposure typical of South-Central Texas.
Wildfire and flood pose top threats
Wildfire risk in Medina reaches 85.24, and flood risk scores 77.23—both substantially elevated compared to state norms. Tornado risk at 60.88 adds a third dimension to the county's weather vulnerability.
Prioritize flood and windstorm protection
Medina residents should secure flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program before it's needed—standard policies exclude flood damage. Add windstorm coverage for wildfire-related wind exposure and maintain defensible space around your property.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor
Preparedness Guide
What to Prepare for in Medina County
Top Hazards by Exposure
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)
Risk Advisory: Medina County
Risk Verdict
Medina County's FEMA risk score places it at the 69th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.
Hazard Breakdown
Wildfire risk is Medina County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 85th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 77th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (61th percentile), hurricane (59th percentile), earthquake (15th percentile).
Preparedness Context
Medina County sits at the 85th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Medina County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. The county's flood exposure at the 77th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. In Medina County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.
Regional Context
The Texas county average is 19.7 composite points below Medina County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.
Is your household prepared for Medina County's hazards?
Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the natural disaster risk in Medina County, TX?
What types of natural hazards affect Medina County?
How does Medina County risk compare to the Texas average?
Is Medina County at risk for wildfire?
How is natural disaster risk measured?
Why is Medina County higher risk than average?
Data Source
Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.
Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.