riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Uvalde County Disaster Risk

Uvalde County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

70th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#82

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

82th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 51% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 16% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Uvalde County, Texas

Uvalde County Faces Moderate Risk

Uvalde County scores 70.04 on the composite risk index, placing it above the national average and indicating substantial multi-hazard exposure. The relatively low risk rating reflects that threats are present but manageable with proper preparation and insurance planning.

Above-Average Risk in Texas

At 70.04, Uvalde County significantly exceeds Texas's state average of 49.00, ranking among the state's riskier counties for disaster exposure. This elevation is driven primarily by exceptional flood risk (82.32) and substantial wildfire (73.22) and hurricane exposure (62.41).

Riskier Than West Texas Neighbors

Uvalde County's 70.04 score substantially exceeds neighboring Upton County (7.67) and approaches regional averages, reflecting its position in flood-prone Hill Country. The county faces elevated water and wildfire threats that distinguish it from the drier West Texas interior.

Flooding Is Your Greatest Threat

Flood risk (82.32) dominates Uvalde County's hazard profile, driven by the county's location in Hill Country terrain prone to flash flooding from heavy rainfall. Wildfire (73.22) and hurricane exposure (62.41) add secondary threats, with wildfire seasons extending through late fall in this region.

Flood Insurance Is Non-Negotiable

Flood insurance through the NFIP or private carriers is essential in Uvalde County—standard homeowners policies explicitly exclude flood damage. Assess your property's flood risk zone through FEMA maps, maintain clear drainage around your foundation, and prepare a flood emergency kit with supplies and critical documents stored in waterproof containers.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Uvalde County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    82th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    73th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    62th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Uvalde County

Risk Verdict

Uvalde County ranks at the 70th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Residents are encouraged to understand which hazards dominate locally and tailor their preparedness accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Uvalde County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 73th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (62th percentile), tornado (51th percentile), earthquake (16th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Uvalde County sits at the 82th percentile nationally for flood exposure. Knowing your property's flood zone designation — available at FEMA's Flood Map Service Center — is the first step toward understanding actual exposure and insurance options. The county's second-ranked hazard, wildfire at the 73th percentile nationally, means Uvalde County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. Regardless of specific hazard, Uvalde County households benefit from a practiced communication plan: a designated out-of-state contact and a pre-agreed evacuation destination established before the season's peak risk period.

Regional Context

Compared to other Texas counties, Uvalde County runs 21.0 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Uvalde County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Uvalde County, TX?
Uvalde County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 70th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Uvalde County?
Uvalde County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (82th percentile), wildfire (73th percentile), hurricane (62th percentile), tornado (51th percentile), earthquake (16th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 82th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Uvalde County risk compare to the Texas average?
Uvalde County's composite risk percentile is 70th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Uvalde County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Uvalde County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Uvalde County's flooding risk is at the 82th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Uvalde County higher risk than average?
Uvalde County's composite risk score of 70th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (82th percentile), along with wildfire and hurricane and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.