riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Chesterfield County Disaster Risk

Chesterfield County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

85th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#2

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

89th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 77% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Chesterfield County, Virginia

Chesterfield ranks moderately above national average

With a composite risk score of 84.83, Chesterfield registers as relatively moderate risk and significantly exceeds the national average. Earthquake risk of 89.63 and flood risk of 89.47 are the primary drivers of this elevated profile.

Highest-risk county in Virginia

Chesterfield's composite score of 84.83 dramatically exceeds Virginia's state average of 33.27, making it the state's most at-risk community. This distinction reflects the county's diverse hazard exposure across earthquakes, floods, and tornadoes.

Significantly riskier than surrounding areas

Chesterfield's 84.83 composite score substantially exceeds Culpeper County (46.25) and Cumberland County (19.72) to the northwest and south. The county's unique combination of seismic and flood vulnerability sets it apart from neighboring regions.

Earthquakes and floods pose major threats

Earthquake risk of 89.63 and flood risk of 89.47 dominate Chesterfield's hazard profile, with tornado risk of 76.78 adding additional concern. The county's position near the East Coast seismic zone and proximity to major waterways create compounded exposure.

Multi-hazard insurance coverage is critical

Chesterfield residents should secure comprehensive flood insurance and earthquake coverage, as both hazards rank among the state's highest. Review your homeowners policy annually and consider additional seismic reinforcement for structures in high-risk zones.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Chesterfield County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    90th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    89th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    86th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Chesterfield County

Risk Verdict

At the 85th percentile nationally, Chesterfield County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Chesterfield County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Chesterfield County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 90th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 89th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (86th percentile), tornado (77th percentile), wildfire (44th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With earthquake ranked as the top hazard at the 90th percentile nationally, Chesterfield County residents benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance: standard policies rarely cover earthquake damage, and separate earthquake insurance must be purchased before an event. Flood at the 89th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Chesterfield County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. Earthquake insurance in Chesterfield County is typically offered as a separate policy — standard homeowners coverage excludes ground movement. Reviewing this gap and comparing policy options before an event is a financial preparedness step with potentially large consequences.

Regional Context

The Virginia county average is 51.6 composite points below Chesterfield County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Chesterfield County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Chesterfield County, VA?
Chesterfield County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 85th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Chesterfield County?
Chesterfield County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (90th percentile), flooding (89th percentile), hurricane (86th percentile), tornado (77th percentile), wildfire (44th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 90th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Chesterfield County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Chesterfield County's composite risk percentile is 85th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Chesterfield County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Chesterfield County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Chesterfield County's earthquake risk is at the 90th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Chesterfield County is at the 89th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Chesterfield County higher risk than average?
Chesterfield County's composite risk score of 85th percentile is above the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (90th percentile), along with flooding and hurricane and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.