riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Cumberland County Disaster Risk

Cumberland County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

20th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#78

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

17th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 18% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Cumberland County, Virginia

Cumberland ranks below national average risk

With a composite risk score of 19.72, Cumberland County is very low risk and well below the national average. The county's inland piedmont location protects it from major coastal and seismic hazards.

Below-average risk for Virginia communities

Cumberland's score of 19.72 falls well below Virginia's state average of 33.27, placing it among the state's safer jurisdictions. The county's rural character and distance from coastal areas contribute to this favorable profile.

Safer than Culpeper, comparable to western areas

Cumberland's 19.72 score is significantly lower than Culpeper County (46.25) but slightly higher than Craig County (6.23) and Clarke County (6.93). The county sits in the lower range of Virginia's risk distribution.

Hurricane and earthquake present modest risks

Cumberland's highest risks are hurricane (72.88) and earthquake (60.53), both elevated compared to flood (16.51) and tornado (17.56) risks. The county's relative safety reflects its inland distance from coastal hazards.

Standard homeowners coverage generally adequate

Cumberland residents can typically rely on basic homeowners insurance, though those near waterways should evaluate flood coverage options. Periodic home maintenance and emergency preparedness provide solid protection.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Cumberland County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    73th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    61th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    18th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Cumberland County

Risk Verdict

Cumberland County carries a low natural disaster risk burden, scoring at the 20th percentile under the FEMA National Risk Index. At the 20th percentile nationally, Cumberland County's natural hazard profile is comparatively favorable — community resilience is reinforced when individual households maintain a reviewed emergency plan.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Cumberland County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 73th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 61th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (18th percentile), flood (17th percentile), wildfire (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Cumberland County's primary hazard, hurricane, ranks at the 73th percentile nationally. Having a designated out-of-area contact, a pre-packed go-bag with medications and documents, and a confirmed evacuation route reduces decision-making load when a storm intensifies rapidly. Cumberland County's earthquake exposure at the 61th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. The National Hurricane Center's official forecast cone and local NWS office watches and warnings are the authoritative sources for Cumberland County storm tracking; households benefit from bookmarking these before storm season rather than relying on social media during an event.

Regional Context

Compared to the Virginia county average, Cumberland County's composite score runs 13.5 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Cumberland County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Cumberland County, VA?
Cumberland County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 20th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Cumberland County?
Cumberland County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (73th percentile), earthquake (61th percentile), tornado (18th percentile), flooding (17th percentile), wildfire (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 73th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Cumberland County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Cumberland County's composite risk percentile is 20th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Cumberland County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Cumberland County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Cumberland County's hurricane risk is at the 73th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Cumberland County is at the 17th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Cumberland County a safe place to live?
Cumberland County's composite risk score of 20th percentile is below the Virginia state average of 33th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 73th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.