riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Goochland County Disaster Risk

Goochland County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

16th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#93

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

29th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 29% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 25% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 60% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Goochland County, Virginia

Goochland County ranks among safest

With a composite risk score of 15.52, Goochland County achieves "Very Low" risk status and sits well below the national average. This inland central Virginia location provides natural protection from most major hazards.

Virginia's lowest-risk counties

Goochland County's score of 15.52 is less than half Virginia's state average of 33.27, making it one of the commonwealth's safest counties for natural disasters. Geography and distance from coast and mountains create this advantage.

Safest in the central Virginia region

Goochland County's 15.52 score beats all nearby counties including Giles County (16.57) and Grayson County (24.65), establishing it as the region's lowest-risk location. Inland piedmont geography favors disaster resilience.

Earthquakes and hurricanes top risk list

Earthquake risk (71.50) and hurricane risk (60.16) rank highest for Goochland County, though these remain moderate concerns at the county level. Flood (28.72), tornado (24.81), and wildfire (9.48) risks all remain well below state averages.

Earthquake coverage and flood awareness key

Goochland County homeowners should evaluate earthquake insurance for protection against seismic events and maintain flood insurance for properties in mapped risk zones. Standard policies exclude both hazards.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Goochland County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    72th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    60th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    29th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Goochland County

Risk Verdict

Goochland County's overall natural disaster score at the 16th percentile puts it well below the national median for hazard exposure. A preparedness foundation — alert registration, household communication plan, and a basic supply review — costs little and remains valuable even at Goochland County's favorable 16th percentile ranking.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Goochland County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 72th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 60th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (29th percentile), tornado (25th percentile), wildfire (9th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Earthquake exposure at the 72th percentile nationally puts Goochland County in a zone where utilities — gas, water, electrical — are the most common post-quake hazard. Knowing how to shut off the main gas valve is an important household skill to develop before an event occurs. Alongside earthquake exposure, Goochland County's hurricane risk at the 60th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. Goochland County households benefit from keeping shoes and a flashlight near the bed — post-earthquake navigation through debris in the dark is a common cause of secondary injury. This low-cost step has outsized protective value.

Regional Context

Goochland County's composite risk score sits 17.7 points below the Virginia county average, reflecting a more favorable hazard environment than the state typical.

Is your household prepared for Goochland County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Goochland County, VA?
Goochland County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 16th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Goochland County?
Goochland County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (72th percentile), hurricane (60th percentile), flooding (29th percentile), tornado (25th percentile), wildfire (9th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 72th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Goochland County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Goochland County's composite risk percentile is 16th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Goochland County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Goochland County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Goochland County's earthquake risk is at the 72th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Goochland County is at the 29th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Goochland County a safe place to live?
Goochland County's composite risk score of 16th percentile is below the Virginia state average of 33th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 72th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.