riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Manassas city Disaster Risk

Manassas city, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

17th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#90

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

32th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 32% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 28% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 56% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Manassas city, Virginia

Manassas well below national risk average

With a composite risk score of 16.63 and a Very Low rating, Manassas city faces significantly lower natural disaster risk than the typical U.S. community. The city's score is well below Virginia's state average of 33.27, reflecting a relatively protected location.

Among Virginia's lowest-risk communities

Manassas city ranks in Virginia's safer tier for natural disaster exposure, with its Very Low rating placing it among the top-performing communities in the state. The city's risk profile is similar to other protected northern Virginia communities.

Safer than similar northern Virginia cities

Manassas's risk score of 16.63 is lower than neighboring Lynchburg city (49.30) and comparable to Manassas Park city (4.93), its closest geographic peer. The city benefits from northern Virginia's generally lower exposure to major hurricane and flood systems.

Tornado and earthquake pose main threats

Tornado risk at 28.47 represents Manassas's most significant hazard exposure, followed by earthquake risk at 55.88. Flood risk (31.68) is moderate but elevated relative to the city's other threats, while wildfire risk remains minimal at 0.80.

Tornado coverage protects Manassas homes

Manassas residents should prioritize comprehensive homeowners insurance with windstorm and hail coverage to address the city's primary tornado risk. Standard policies typically cover tornado damage, but renters should verify their coverage specifically addresses severe convective weather threats.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Manassas city

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    65th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    56th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    32th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Manassas city

Risk Verdict

At the 17th percentile nationally, Manassas city experiences relatively limited natural hazard pressure compared to most of the country. Residents of Manassas city can use the 17th percentile ranking as a baseline, while recognizing that individual properties may still lie in specific hazard zones that differ from the county average.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Manassas city's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 65th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 56th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (32th percentile), tornado (28th percentile), wildfire (1th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Manassas city ranks at the 65th percentile nationally for hurricane risk. For coastal counties, wind-resistant shutters or impact-rated windows represent the highest single structural investment for reducing property damage. Earthquake at the 56th percentile nationally is Manassas city's secondary hazard, often intensified by the same weather systems that produce hurricane conditions. For extended post-storm outages common in Manassas city's hurricane zone, a portable generator (operated outdoors only) and a supply of non-perishable food for at least seven days provides meaningful household resilience.

Regional Context

A composite score 16.6 points below the Virginia state average puts Manassas city in a better-than-typical position relative to neighboring counties.

Is your household prepared for Manassas city's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Manassas city, VA?
Manassas city has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 17th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Manassas city?
Manassas city is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (65th percentile), earthquake (56th percentile), flooding (32th percentile), tornado (28th percentile), wildfire (1th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 65th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Manassas city risk compare to the Virginia average?
Manassas city's composite risk percentile is 17th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Manassas city faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Manassas city at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Manassas city's hurricane risk is at the 65th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Manassas city is at the 32th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Manassas city a safe place to live?
Manassas city's composite risk score of 17th percentile is below the Virginia state average of 33th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 65th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.