riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Manassas Park city Disaster Risk

Manassas Park city, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

5th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#124

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

15th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 0% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Manassas Park city, Virginia

Manassas Park has exceptionally low risk

With a composite risk score of 4.93 and a Very Low rating, Manassas Park city is one of the safest communities in the nation for natural disasters. The city's score is far below both the national average and Virginia's state average of 33.27.

Virginia's second-safest profiled community

Manassas Park ranks among Virginia's lowest-risk municipalities overall, with only Madison County scoring lower among our profiled communities. This exceptional Very Low rating reflects minimal exposure across all major disaster categories.

Safer than nearby Manassas and Lynchburg

Manassas Park's risk score of 4.93 is substantially lower than adjacent Manassas city (16.63) and dramatically lower than Lynchburg city (49.30). The city represents one of the most naturally protected communities in northern Virginia.

Tornado is primary hazard for small city

Manassas Park's highest individual risk comes from tornadoes at 16.63, though this remains well below state averages. Other hazards including flood (15.11), earthquake (32.79), and hurricane (54.86) are all relatively minimal, creating an exceptionally safe overall environment.

Standard insurance adequate for very low risk

Manassas Park's exceptional safety profile means standard homeowners insurance provides comprehensive protection for most properties. Residents should maintain basic emergency readiness and ensure their policies cover severe weather, but the city's low risk means expensive specialty coverage is typically unnecessary.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Manassas Park city

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    55th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    33th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    17th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Manassas Park city

Risk Verdict

Compared to the nation's 3,144 counties, Manassas Park city ranks at the 5th percentile for natural disaster risk — toward the safer end of the spectrum. A 5th percentile score positions Manassas Park city among the nation's lower-risk counties, a genuinely favorable outcome — one that simple, low-cost preparedness habits can reinforce further.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Manassas Park city's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 55th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 33th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (17th percentile), flood (15th percentile), wildfire (0th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With hurricane ranked at the 55th percentile nationally, Manassas Park city sits in a zone where multi-day supply readiness matters: grid outages after landfalling storms can last one to three weeks in heavily affected areas. Manassas Park city's earthquake exposure at the 33th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. Insurance gaps are the most common post-hurricane financial shock: standard homeowners policies typically exclude flood damage and may have a separate wind deductible. Manassas Park city households benefit from a pre-season insurance review confirming both wind and flood coverage.

Regional Context

At 28.3 points below the Virginia state average, Manassas Park city is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Manassas Park city's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Manassas Park city, VA?
Manassas Park city has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 5th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Manassas Park city?
Manassas Park city is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (55th percentile), earthquake (33th percentile), tornado (17th percentile), flooding (15th percentile), wildfire (0th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 55th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Manassas Park city risk compare to the Virginia average?
Manassas Park city's composite risk percentile is 5th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Manassas Park city faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Manassas Park city at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Manassas Park city's hurricane risk is at the 55th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Manassas Park city is at the 15th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Manassas Park city a safe place to live?
Manassas Park city's composite risk score of 5th percentile is below the Virginia state average of 33th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 55th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.