riskbycounty
FEMA National Risk Index

Page County Disaster Risk

Page County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

38th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#54

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

57th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 53% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 19% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 43% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 77% of US counties

Risk Advisory: Page County

Risk Verdict

Page County has a very low overall disaster risk profile, scoring in the 38th percentile nationally. This county is among the safer counties in the United States from a natural disaster perspective, though no area is entirely risk-free.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is the dominant hazard for Page County, scoring in the 77th percentile nationally. It is followed by flood risk at the 57th percentile. Additional hazards include wildfire (53th), earthquake (43th), tornado (19th).

Preparedness Context

With hurricane risk as the top concern, Page County residents should know your evacuation route, stockpile supplies for at least 72 hours, and review your homeowners and flood insurance policies annually. Secondary risks such as flood also warrant attention in household and community preparedness planning. FEMA recommends all households maintain at least 72 hours of food, water, and medication supplies regardless of specific hazard exposure.

Regional Context

Page County has a disaster risk profile close to the average county in Virginia. Its composite risk score is within 4.6 points of the state average, meaning its overall hazard exposure is broadly representative of Virginia as a whole.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Page County, VA?
Page County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 38th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Page County?
Page County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (77th percentile), flooding (57th percentile), wildfire (53th percentile), earthquake (43th percentile), tornado (19th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 77th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Page County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Page County's composite risk percentile is 38th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Page County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Page County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Page County's hurricane risk is at the 77th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Page County is at the 57th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Page County higher risk than average?
Page County's composite risk score of 38th percentile is above the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (77th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.

Counties with Similar Risk

Isle of Wight County

Virginia

+0.0

Very Low

38th percentile

Alleghany County

Virginia

+0.2

Very Low

38th percentile

Westmoreland County

Virginia

-0.5

Very Low

37th percentile

By Logan Johnson, Founder & Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Logan Johnson, Founder & Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.

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