riskbycounty
FEMA National Risk Index

Warren County Disaster Risk

Warren County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

32th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#63

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

56th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 56% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 25% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 45% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 60% of US counties

Risk Advisory: Warren County

Risk Verdict

Warren County has a very low overall disaster risk profile, scoring in the 32th percentile nationally. This county is among the safer counties in the United States from a natural disaster perspective, though no area is entirely risk-free.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is the dominant hazard for Warren County, scoring in the 60th percentile nationally. It is followed by flood risk at the 56th percentile. Additional hazards include earthquake (45th), wildfire (36th), tornado (25th).

Preparedness Context

With hurricane risk as the top concern, Warren County residents should know your evacuation route, stockpile supplies for at least 72 hours, and review your homeowners and flood insurance policies annually. Secondary risks such as flood also warrant attention in household and community preparedness planning. FEMA recommends all households maintain at least 72 hours of food, water, and medication supplies regardless of specific hazard exposure.

Regional Context

Warren County has a disaster risk profile close to the average county in Virginia. Its composite risk score is within 1.7 points of the state average, meaning its overall hazard exposure is broadly representative of Virginia as a whole.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Warren County, VA?
Warren County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 32th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Warren County?
Warren County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (60th percentile), flooding (56th percentile), earthquake (45th percentile), wildfire (36th percentile), tornado (25th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 60th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Warren County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Warren County's composite risk percentile is 32th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Warren County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Warren County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Warren County's hurricane risk is at the 60th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Warren County is at the 56th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Warren County a safe place to live?
Warren County's composite risk score of 32th percentile is below the Virginia state average of 33th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 60th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.

Counties with Similar Risk

Campbell County

Virginia

+0.4

Very Low

32th percentile

Louisa County

Virginia

+0.6

Very Low

32th percentile

Lancaster County

Virginia

+0.7

Very Low

32th percentile

By Logan Johnson, Founder & Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Logan Johnson, Founder & Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.

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