riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lincoln County Disaster Risk

Lincoln County, Washington

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

55th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#29

of 39 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

50th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 50% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 63% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lincoln County, Washington

Lincoln County carries relatively low risk

Lincoln County's composite risk score of 54.90 ranks in the "Relatively Low" category, below the national average. Despite significant wildfire exposure, the county's overall hazard profile is among the least concerning in Washington state.

Lowest risk county in Washington

Lincoln County scores 54.90 against Washington's state average of 70.01, making it the state's safest county by composite risk measure. This low score reflects moderate earthquake and flood exposure paired with fewer tornado threats.

Lincoln leads neighboring counties in safety

Lincoln County (54.90) dramatically outperforms nearby Okanogan County (89.19) and Kittitas County (89.12) in overall safety rankings. This makes Lincoln County a relative haven in north-central Washington's hazard landscape.

Wildfire dominates Lincoln's hazards

Lincoln County faces extreme wildfire risk (96.66) across its semi-arid rangeland and forested zones, far exceeding other hazards. Earthquakes (63.01) and flooding (49.97) present moderate secondary concerns, while tornadoes (7.63) are rare.

Wildfire preparedness and insurance key

Lincoln County residents should prioritize wildfire defensibility—clearing brush, maintaining roof maintenance, and creating defensible space around homes. Standard homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage, so ensure your coverage reflects your home's replacement cost and location relative to wildland-urban interface zones.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lincoln County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    63th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    50th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lincoln County

Risk Verdict

Lincoln County's FEMA risk score places it at the 55th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Lincoln County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 63th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (50th percentile), tornado (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Lincoln County sits at the 97th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Lincoln County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. Alongside wildfire, earthquake at the 63th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. In Lincoln County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

At 15.1 points below the Washington state average, Lincoln County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Lincoln County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lincoln County, WA?
Lincoln County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 55th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lincoln County?
Lincoln County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (97th percentile), earthquake (63th percentile), flooding (50th percentile), tornado (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lincoln County risk compare to the Washington average?
Lincoln County's composite risk percentile is 55th, compared to the Washington state average of 70th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Lincoln County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Washington.
Is Lincoln County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Lincoln County's wildfire risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Lincoln County is at the 50th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Lincoln County a safe place to live?
Lincoln County's composite risk score of 55th percentile is below the Washington state average of 70th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 97th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.