riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Carbon County Disaster Risk

Carbon County, Wyoming

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

43th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#10

of 23 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

50th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 50% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Carbon County, Wyoming

Carbon's risk slightly below state average

Carbon County's composite risk score of 42.68 rates as very low and sits slightly above Wyoming's state average of 37.86. Wildfire exposure (81.90) and moderate earthquake risk (60.69) define the county's hazard profile.

Below-average vulnerability within Wyoming

Carbon County ranks in the lower-middle tier of Wyoming's 23 counties for disaster risk. The county benefits from very low tornado risk (8.62)—among the state's lowest—while facing moderate wildfire and earthquake exposure.

Safer than Fremont, comparable to Albany

Carbon County's risk profile sits substantially below neighboring Fremont County (59.73) and moderately below Albany County (48.47). The county's notably low tornado risk (8.62) differentiates it favorably from higher-tornado-risk areas.

Wildfires and earthquakes define Carbon's threats

Wildfire risk scores 81.90—substantial and among the county's primary concerns—reflecting significant forest exposure. Earthquake risk (60.69) and flood risk (50.35) present secondary hazards, while tornado risk remains exceptionally low at 8.62.

Wildfire and earthquake coverage are essential

Residents should prioritize wildfire insurance with explicit brush and forest coverage, plus maintain defensible space around structures. Earthquake insurance deserves serious consideration given the 60.69 score; standard homeowners policies typically exclude seismic damage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Carbon County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    82th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    61th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    50th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Carbon County

Risk Verdict

Carbon County's natural disaster risk is among the lowest in the country, with a composite score at the 43th percentile nationally. Being ranked at the 43th percentile nationally is an advantage for Carbon County — it means fewer statistically likely events, though basic readiness ensures households are covered when exceptions occur.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Carbon County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 61th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (50th percentile), tornado (9th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Carbon County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 82th percentile nationally. Carbon County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. Alongside wildfire, earthquake at the 61th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. For Carbon County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

At just 4.8 composite points from the Wyoming average, Carbon County's natural disaster risk is closely in line with its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for Carbon County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Carbon County, WY?
Carbon County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 43th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Carbon County?
Carbon County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (82th percentile), earthquake (61th percentile), flooding (50th percentile), tornado (9th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 82th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Carbon County risk compare to the Wyoming average?
Carbon County's composite risk percentile is 43th, compared to the Wyoming state average of 38th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Carbon County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Wyoming.
Is Carbon County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Carbon County's wildfire risk is at the 82th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Carbon County is at the 50th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Carbon County higher risk than average?
Carbon County's composite risk score of 43th percentile is above the Wyoming state average of 38th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (82th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.