riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Morgan County Disaster Risk

Morgan County, Alabama

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

89th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#8

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

87th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 49% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Morgan County, Alabama

Morgan County ranks among nation's riskiest

Morgan County's 88.84 composite score places it solidly in the high-risk category nationally and 27 points above Alabama's state average of 61.54. This combination of hazards elevates Morgan to the ranks of America's most disaster-prone counties.

Third-highest risk in Alabama

Morgan County ranks third in Alabama's disaster risk hierarchy, behind only Mobile (98.03) and Montgomery (91.83), with a score of 88.84. This consistently elevated risk reflects the county's exposure to multiple concurrent hazard types.

Notably riskier than surrounding counties

Morgan's 88.84 score significantly exceeds Pickens County (44.69) and Randolph County (30.60), despite their geographic proximity. Morgan's higher risk stems from extreme tornado and earthquake exposure that its neighbors don't share to the same degree.

Tornado risk poses the gravest threat

Tornado risk dominates at 98.35—the highest in the state—followed by earthquake risk (92.27) and flood risk (86.74). Morgan residents face a particularly acute tornado threat; this county experiences some of Alabama's most violent spring storm activity.

Storm shelters and full coverage essential

With a 98.35 tornado risk, Morgan County residents should invest in a safe room or basement shelter and carry comprehensive homeowner insurance with elevated limits. Flood insurance and earthquake coverage are also strongly recommended given the 86.74 and 92.27 scores.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Morgan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    92th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    87th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Morgan County

Risk Verdict

At the 89th percentile nationally, Morgan County sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Morgan County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Morgan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 92th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (87th percentile), hurricane (68th percentile), wildfire (49th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 98th percentile nationally makes Morgan County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. Earthquake is the second hazard driver for Morgan County at the 92th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and earthquake-specific warning systems. In Morgan County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Alabama county average is 27.3 composite points below Morgan County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Morgan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Morgan County, AL?
Morgan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 89th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Morgan County?
Morgan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (98th percentile), earthquake (92th percentile), flooding (87th percentile), hurricane (68th percentile), wildfire (49th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Morgan County risk compare to the Alabama average?
Morgan County's composite risk percentile is 89th, compared to the Alabama state average of 62th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Morgan County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Alabama.
Is Morgan County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Morgan County's tornado risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Morgan County is at the 87th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Morgan County higher risk than average?
Morgan County's composite risk score of 89th percentile is above the Alabama state average of 62th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (98th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.