riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Bethel Census Area Disaster Risk

Bethel Census Area, Alaska

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

44th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#11

of 30 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

10th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 10% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 84% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 49% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Bethel Census Area, Alaska

Below national average despite wildfire exposure

Bethel Census Area's 44.31 composite score is well below the national average, earning a Relatively Low rating despite the state's second-highest wildfire risk (83.84). The region's low flood and tornado risks help offset the significant fire threat.

Mid-range risk in Alaska's landscape

At 44.31, Bethel Census Area ranks above Alaska's 35.22 state average and occupies the moderate-risk tier among the state's 29 counties. It's riskier than coastal boroughs but less exposed than Anchorage Municipality.

Wildfire exposure sets it apart

Bethel Census Area's wildfire risk of 83.84 ranks second-highest statewide, significantly outpacing the modest fire exposure in nearby Bristol Bay Borough (34.22). This wildfire intensity is the primary factor elevating Bethel's overall risk profile above many Alaska neighbors.

Wildfire and earthquake threaten equally

Wildfire risk scores an extreme 83.84—second only to Denali Borough—while earthquake risk at 49.40 poses the secondary threat. Flood (9.57) and tornado (1.43) risks remain manageable, making fire and seismic hazards the clear priorities.

Prepare for fire and seismic activity

Wildfire poses the most immediate threat to Bethel homes; create defensible space, clear gutters, and ensure fire-resistant landscaping. Add earthquake insurance to your standard homeowners policy to address the region's secondary seismic exposure.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Bethel Census Area

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    84th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    49th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    10th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Bethel Census Area

Risk Verdict

Bethel Census Area sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 44th percentile across all U.S. counties. Bethel Census Area's lower-than-average risk profile at the 44th percentile makes it a more manageable preparedness environment, but a reviewed household plan remains the right foundation regardless.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Bethel Census Area's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 84th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 49th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (10th percentile), tornado (1th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 84th percentile nationally for wildfire, Bethel Census Area residents should verify whether their insurance policy includes replacement cost coverage for structures and whether the insurer still writes new policies in this fire-risk zone. Bethel Census Area's secondary hazard, earthquake at the 49th percentile nationally, indicates that post-fire landscape changes can elevate flood risk in watersheds — a compounding factor residents in burned areas should monitor. Local USFS or Cal Fire (where applicable) fire risk maps and seasonal Red Flag Warning alerts from the National Weather Service are two free resources Bethel Census Area residents can use to stay ahead of rapidly changing wildfire conditions.

Regional Context

A composite score 9.1 points above the Alaska state average puts Bethel Census Area in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Bethel Census Area's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Bethel Census Area, AK?
Bethel Census Area has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 44th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Bethel Census Area?
Bethel Census Area is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (84th percentile), earthquake (49th percentile), flooding (10th percentile), tornado (1th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 84th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Bethel Census Area risk compare to the Alaska average?
Bethel Census Area's composite risk percentile is 44th, compared to the Alaska state average of 35th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Bethel Census Area faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Alaska.
Is Bethel Census Area at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Bethel Census Area's wildfire risk is at the 84th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Bethel Census Area is at the 10th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Bethel Census Area higher risk than average?
Bethel Census Area's composite risk score of 44th percentile is above the Alaska state average of 35th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (84th percentile). Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.