riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Chugach Census Area Disaster Risk

Chugach Census Area, Alaska

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

20th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#18

of 30 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

21th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 21% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 0% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Chugach Census Area, Alaska

Exceptionally safe despite coastal exposure

Chugach Census Area's 19.62 composite score is one of Alaska's lowest and far below the national average, earning Very Low rating. Minimal flood, wildfire, and tornado risks combine with modest earthquake exposure to create an unusually protected region.

Among Alaska's safest communities

Chugach Census Area ranks near the bottom of Alaska's 29 counties at 19.62—well below the state average of 35.22. Only Bristol Bay Borough and a handful of other remote areas offer comparable safety.

Far safer than Anchorage to the north

Chugach Census Area at 19.62 is nearly five times safer than neighboring Anchorage Municipality (97.39), though both face similar seismic activity. Anchorage's wildfire and flood exposures drive its dramatically higher overall risk.

Earthquake and flooding are primary hazards

Earthquake risk scores 81.81 and flood risk at 20.80 are Chugach's main natural disaster concerns, while wildfire (1.30) and tornado (0.06) risks remain negligible. These two hazards account for the area's limited but present vulnerability.

Earthquake and flood coverage recommended

Secure earthquake insurance to cover Chugach's 81.81 seismic exposure, and evaluate flood insurance if your home is near water or wetlands. These two policies address essentially all meaningful natural disaster risk in this protected region.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Chugach Census Area

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    82th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    21th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    1th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Chugach Census Area

Risk Verdict

Chugach Census Area carries a low natural disaster risk burden, scoring at the 20th percentile under the FEMA National Risk Index. Residents of Chugach Census Area can use the 20th percentile ranking as a baseline, while recognizing that individual properties may still lie in specific hazard zones that differ from the county average.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Chugach Census Area's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 21th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (1th percentile), tornado (0th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Chugach Census Area's primary hazard, earthquake, ranks at the 82th percentile nationally. Unreinforced masonry structures carry the highest injury risk during seismic events; residents in older buildings should check with their municipality about available seismic retrofit programs. Flood at the 21th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Chugach Census Area that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. After a major earthquake, Chugach Census Area residents should expect water service disruption for 24 to 72 or more hours. Storing a minimum of one gallon per person per day for three days — before any event — is the most direct preparedness action households can take.

Regional Context

Compared to the Alaska county average, Chugach Census Area's composite score runs 15.6 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Chugach Census Area's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Chugach Census Area, AK?
Chugach Census Area has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 20th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Chugach Census Area?
Chugach Census Area is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (82th percentile), flooding (21th percentile), wildfire (1th percentile), tornado (0th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 82th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Chugach Census Area risk compare to the Alaska average?
Chugach Census Area's composite risk percentile is 20th, compared to the Alaska state average of 35th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Chugach Census Area faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Alaska.
Is Chugach Census Area at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Chugach Census Area's earthquake risk is at the 82th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Chugach Census Area is at the 21th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Chugach Census Area a safe place to live?
Chugach Census Area's composite risk score of 20th percentile is below the Alaska state average of 35th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 82th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.