riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Fairbanks North Star Borough Disaster Risk

Fairbanks North Star Borough, Alaska

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

89th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#4

of 30 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

46th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 46% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Fairbanks North Star Borough, Alaska

Fairbanks faces above-average U.S. disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 88.52, Fairbanks North Star Borough ranks as Relatively Moderate—significantly higher than Alaska's state average of 35.22. This interior borough is among the riskier counties in the nation, driven primarily by wildfire and earthquake hazards.

Alaska's second-riskiest county overall

Fairbanks North Star Borough ranks as one of Alaska's highest-risk regions, with only Kenai Peninsula Borough (93.03) exceeding its composite score. The borough's location in Alaska's interior boreal forest makes it particularly vulnerable to multiple hazard types.

Far riskier than Southeast Alaska counterparts

Fairbanks' 88.52 score dwarfs Southeast Alaska counties like Juneau (11.51) and Ketchikan Gateway (1.69), but runs closer to Kenai Peninsula Borough (93.03), another high-risk interior region. The difference reflects interior Alaska's wildfire exposure and seismic activity.

Extreme wildfire and earthquake threats define the borough

Wildfire risk reaches an alarming 97.61, nearly maximal, while earthquake risk hits 97.58—together these hazards account for most of Fairbanks' elevated risk profile. Flood risk (45.67) poses a secondary but still significant concern during spring snowmelt and heavy rains.

Wildfire and earthquake coverage are non-negotiable

Add earthquake and wildfire insurance to your homeowners policy immediately—standard coverage excludes both. Create a defensible space of 30+ feet around your home, clear gutters regularly, and ensure your roof uses fire-resistant materials.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Fairbanks North Star Borough

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    98th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    46th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Fairbanks North Star Borough

Risk Verdict

At the 89th percentile nationally, Fairbanks North Star Borough sits in the upper half of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Fairbanks North Star Borough residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Fairbanks North Star Borough's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 98th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (46th percentile), tornado (1th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Fairbanks North Star Borough sits at the 98th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Fairbanks North Star Borough's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. Earthquake, which ranks at the 98th percentile nationally, is a secondary concern for Fairbanks North Star Borough that becomes most relevant in months outside the fire season. In Fairbanks North Star Borough, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

The Alaska county average is 53.3 composite points below Fairbanks North Star Borough's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Fairbanks North Star Borough's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK?
Fairbanks North Star Borough has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 89th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Fairbanks North Star Borough?
Fairbanks North Star Borough is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (98th percentile), earthquake (98th percentile), flooding (46th percentile), tornado (1th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Fairbanks North Star Borough risk compare to the Alaska average?
Fairbanks North Star Borough's composite risk percentile is 89th, compared to the Alaska state average of 35th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Fairbanks North Star Borough faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Alaska.
Is Fairbanks North Star Borough at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Fairbanks North Star Borough's wildfire risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Fairbanks North Star Borough is at the 46th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Fairbanks North Star Borough higher risk than average?
Fairbanks North Star Borough's composite risk score of 89th percentile is above the Alaska state average of 35th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (98th percentile), along with earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.