riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area Disaster Risk

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

57th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#9

of 30 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

9th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska

Southeast Fairbanks faces above-average disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 57.03 and a Relatively Low rating, Southeast Fairbanks exceeds the national average and ranks above most U.S. counties in natural disaster exposure. The region's risk profile reflects interior Alaska's susceptibility to wildfires and seismic activity.

Among Alaska's highest-risk census areas

Southeast Fairbanks scores 57.03 against Alaska's 35.22 state average, placing it in the upper tier of state risk. Only Yukon-Koyukuk (61.55) surpasses it, making this region one of Alaska's most hazard-exposed communities.

Wildfire risk sets Southeast Fairbanks apart

Southeast Fairbanks's 57.03 composite score exceeds coastal Sitka (23.82) and Skagway (0.48) by a wide margin, driven by interior location and boreal forest coverage. Only Yukon-Koyukuk (61.55) compares, as both regions share intense wildfire exposure.

Wildfires and earthquakes dominate the hazard mix

Wildfire risk explodes to 97.11—the highest in the state—reflecting Southeast Fairbanks's boreal forest geography and long fire season. Earthquake risk reaches 86.48, while flood (9.35) and tornado (0.76) risks remain secondary but notable threats.

Wildfire and earthquake preparedness are critical

Homeowners must ensure their standard policy includes wildfire coverage or purchase a separate rider given the 97.11 wildfire risk score. Earthquake insurance remains equally essential, and defensible space management around structures is a practical fire-prevention priority.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    86th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    9th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Southeast Fairbanks Census Area

Risk Verdict

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 57th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Southeast Fairbanks Census Area's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 86th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (9th percentile), tornado (1th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Southeast Fairbanks Census Area's top-ranked natural hazard at the 97th percentile nationally. Southeast Fairbanks Census Area residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. Earthquake, which ranks at the 86th percentile nationally, is a secondary concern for Southeast Fairbanks Census Area that becomes most relevant in months outside the fire season. For Southeast Fairbanks Census Area households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area's composite risk score sits 21.8 points above the Alaska county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Southeast Fairbanks Census Area's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK?
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 57th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Southeast Fairbanks Census Area?
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (97th percentile), earthquake (86th percentile), flooding (9th percentile), tornado (1th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Southeast Fairbanks Census Area risk compare to the Alaska average?
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area's composite risk percentile is 57th, compared to the Alaska state average of 35th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Southeast Fairbanks Census Area faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Alaska.
Is Southeast Fairbanks Census Area at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Southeast Fairbanks Census Area's wildfire risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Southeast Fairbanks Census Area is at the 9th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Southeast Fairbanks Census Area higher risk than average?
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area's composite risk score of 57th percentile is above the Alaska state average of 35th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (97th percentile), along with earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.