riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Cochise County Disaster Risk

Cochise County, Arizona

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

93th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#7

of 15 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

94th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 10% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Cochise County, Arizona

Cochise County faces moderate-to-high risks

Cochise County scores 92.84 on the composite risk scale, placing it in the "Relatively Moderate" category and above Arizona's state average of 84.45. This southeastern county contends with multiple overlapping hazards that demand serious preparation.

Above-average risk statewide

Cochise County ranks significantly higher than the Arizona average, placing it among the state's more hazard-exposed counties. Its composite score of 92.84 puts it squarely in the moderate-risk tier, comparable to other challenging areas in southern Arizona.

Riskier than most surrounding areas

Cochise County's 92.84 score exceeds Graham County (64.60) to the north and sits slightly below Gila County (90.17) to the northwest. Its elevation places it among Arizona's higher-risk counties, driven by multiple converging hazards.

Wildfire, flood, and earthquakes threaten

Cochise County faces near-extreme wildfire risk (99.17) alongside significant flood danger (93.83), making these the top two concerns. Earthquake risk scores 78.50, adding seismic vulnerability to the hazard profile and affecting building safety decisions.

Layer insurance for multiple hazards

Cochise County residents need wildfire and flood coverage beyond standard homeowners policies, given both hazards score above 93. Consider earthquake insurance as well, particularly if your home is older or lacks seismic reinforcement.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Cochise County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    94th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    78th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Cochise County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard risk in Cochise County is higher than the majority of U.S. counties, with a national composite rank of 93th. Cochise County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Cochise County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 94th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (78th percentile), hurricane (34th percentile), tornado (10th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for wildfire, Cochise County residents should verify whether their insurance policy includes replacement cost coverage for structures and whether the insurer still writes new policies in this fire-risk zone. The county's flood exposure at the 94th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. Local USFS or Cal Fire (where applicable) fire risk maps and seasonal Red Flag Warning alerts from the National Weather Service are two free resources Cochise County residents can use to stay ahead of rapidly changing wildfire conditions.

Regional Context

A composite score 8.4 points above the Arizona state average puts Cochise County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Cochise County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Cochise County, AZ?
Cochise County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 93th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Cochise County?
Cochise County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (99th percentile), flooding (94th percentile), earthquake (78th percentile), hurricane (34th percentile), tornado (10th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Cochise County risk compare to the Arizona average?
Cochise County's composite risk percentile is 93th, compared to the Arizona state average of 85th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Cochise County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arizona.
Is Cochise County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Cochise County's wildfire risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Cochise County is at the 94th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Cochise County higher risk than average?
Cochise County's composite risk score of 93th percentile is above the Arizona state average of 85th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (99th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.