riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Cleburne County Disaster Risk

Cleburne County, Arkansas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

73th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#17

of 75 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

73th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 76% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 53% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Cleburne County, Arkansas

Cleburne Faces Above-Average Disaster Risk

Cleburne County's composite risk score of 72.71 exceeds the national average significantly, yet still rates as "relatively low" due to its risk distribution across multiple hazard types. Your county confronts genuine exposure to tornadoes, wildfires, earthquakes, and floods—a complex hazard portfolio. No single catastrophe dominates; instead, multiple moderate-to-high threats demand attention.

Arkansas's Higher-Risk Communities

At 72.71, Cleburne exceeds the state average of 55.51 by 31%, placing it in the upper quarter of Arkansas counties by risk. You face more disaster exposure than roughly three-quarters of your state peers. This elevation reflects both geography and the convergence of multiple hazard pathways through your county.

Riskier Than Most Surrounding Counties

Cleburne's 72.71 substantially exceeds nearby Conway (56.55), Chicot (43.77), and Clark (41.09), making you one of north-central Arkansas's riskier communities. Only Craighead County (91.79) to the north carries greater composite risk in your region. Your neighbors' lower scores underscore Cleburne's elevated hazard exposure.

Tornado, Wildfire, and Earthquake Threats

Tornadoes pose your most acute risk at 88.77, followed closely by wildfires at 75.80 and earthquakes at 86.74—a triple threat few Arkansas counties face. Floods add another dimension at 73.31, creating a complex four-hazard exposure profile. Your preparedness strategy must address all four to be effective.

Comprehensive Coverage Across Multiple Perils

Your 88.77 tornado score demands premium wind and hail protection; your 75.80 wildfire risk requires verified coverage for structure fires from wildland sources. Add earthquake riders for your 86.74 seismic exposure, and confirm flood coverage for your 73.31 flood risk. This multi-layered approach protects your home against Cleburne's diverse hazard landscape.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Cleburne County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    89th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    87th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    76th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Cleburne County

Risk Verdict

Cleburne County's FEMA risk score places it at the 73th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Cleburne County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 89th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 87th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (76th percentile), flood (73th percentile), hurricane (53th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 89th percentile nationally makes Cleburne County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. Alongside tornado exposure, earthquake at the 87th percentile nationally means Cleburne County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. In Cleburne County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Arkansas county average is 17.2 composite points below Cleburne County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Cleburne County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Cleburne County, AR?
Cleburne County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 73th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Cleburne County?
Cleburne County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (89th percentile), earthquake (87th percentile), wildfire (76th percentile), flooding (73th percentile), hurricane (53th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 89th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Cleburne County risk compare to the Arkansas average?
Cleburne County's composite risk percentile is 73th, compared to the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Cleburne County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arkansas.
Is Cleburne County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Cleburne County's tornado risk is at the 89th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Cleburne County is at the 73th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Cleburne County higher risk than average?
Cleburne County's composite risk score of 73th percentile is above the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (89th percentile), along with earthquake and wildfire and flooding and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.