riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Craighead County Disaster Risk

Craighead County, Arkansas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

92th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 75 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

79th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Craighead County, Arkansas

Craighead County: Highest Risk in Region

Craighead County's composite risk score of 91.79 places it in the "relatively moderate" category—substantially above the national average and among the highest-risk counties nationwide. Your exposure spans tornadoes at 97.74, earthquakes at 97.81, and floods at 78.75, creating an exceptionally complex hazard environment. This elevated profile demands comprehensive, serious disaster preparedness.

Arkansas's Most Dangerous County

Craighead's 91.79 vastly exceeds the Arkansas state average of 55.51—a 65% elevation—making it the state's riskiest county by a substantial margin. You face nearly double the disaster exposure of the average Arkansas community. This distinction underscores Craighead's uniquely challenging natural hazard geography.

Dramatically Riskier Than All Neighbors

Craighead's 91.79 catastrophically exceeds every nearby county: Cleburne (72.71), Conway (56.55), Clay (71.63), and Columbia (42.08) all score significantly lower. You face roughly 25% greater risk than Cleburne, your second-riskiest neighbor, and more than double Columbia County's exposure. Craighead stands isolated as northeast Arkansas's hazard hotspot.

Tornadoes and Earthquakes Define Danger

Tornadoes and earthquakes dominate your risk at nearly identical, exceptional levels: 97.74 and 97.81 respectively—among the highest scores in the nation. Floods add critical third pressure at 78.75, creating a three-fold emergency preparedness requirement. These three hazards account for the vast majority of your exposure.

Comprehensive Coverage Is Critical

Your 97.74 tornado score and 97.81 earthquake score demand world-class wind/hail and earthquake coverage—these are non-negotiable investments, not optional add-ons. Flood insurance at your 78.75 risk level protects against your third major threat and should be mandatory in your planning. Bundle these three protections to genuinely safeguard your home in Craighead County.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Craighead County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    98th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    79th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Craighead County

Risk Verdict

Craighead County registers a moderately elevated natural disaster risk, ranking at the 92th percentile across all U.S. counties. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in Craighead County.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Craighead County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 98th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (79th percentile), hurricane (57th percentile), wildfire (44th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Craighead County's primary hazard, earthquake, ranks at the 98th percentile nationally. Unreinforced masonry structures carry the highest injury risk during seismic events; residents in older buildings should check with their municipality about available seismic retrofit programs. Alongside earthquake exposure, Craighead County's tornado risk at the 98th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. After a major earthquake, Craighead County residents should expect water service disruption for 24 to 72 or more hours. Storing a minimum of one gallon per person per day for three days — before any event — is the most direct preparedness action households can take.

Regional Context

Craighead County falls 36.3 points above Arkansas's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Craighead County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Craighead County, AR?
Craighead County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 92th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Craighead County?
Craighead County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (98th percentile), tornado (98th percentile), flooding (79th percentile), hurricane (57th percentile), wildfire (44th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Craighead County risk compare to the Arkansas average?
Craighead County's composite risk percentile is 92th, compared to the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Craighead County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arkansas.
Is Craighead County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Craighead County's earthquake risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Craighead County is at the 79th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Craighead County higher risk than average?
Craighead County's composite risk score of 92th percentile is above the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (98th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.