riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Crawford County Disaster Risk

Crawford County, Arkansas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

72th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#21

of 75 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

71th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 71% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 81% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 67% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 43% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Crawford County, Arkansas

Crawford ranks below average nationally

Crawford County scores 71.60 on composite risk, placing it in the Relatively Low category—well below the national average. This means residents face fewer natural hazard threats than most U.S. counties, though wildfire and tornado risks remain noteworthy at 91.06 and 81.39 respectively.

Above the Arkansas average

Crawford's 71.60 composite risk score exceeds Arkansas's state average of 55.51, making it one of the riskier counties in the state despite its national classification. This elevation is driven primarily by exceptionally high wildfire risk and significant tornado exposure.

Riskier than Franklin County nearby

Crawford County's 71.60 score outpaces neighboring Franklin County (49.40) by a substantial margin, mainly due to Crawford's wildfire threat (91.06 vs. 82.54). Both counties share tornado concerns, but Crawford's landscape and vegetation create significantly higher fire danger.

Wildfire and tornado dominate

Wildfire risk at 91.06 is Crawford's paramount threat, reflecting the county's forested terrain and dry conditions. Tornado risk of 81.39 makes severe spring storms a secondary but serious concern for residents and property.

Secure coverage for fire and wind

Crawford residents should prioritize comprehensive homeowners insurance that explicitly covers wildfire damage, as standard policies often exclude it. Consider adding wind and hail coverage to address tornado risk, and maintain defensible space around your home by clearing vegetation within 30 feet.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Crawford County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    91th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    81th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    71th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Crawford County

Risk Verdict

Crawford County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 72th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Crawford County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Crawford County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 91th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 81th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (71th percentile), earthquake (67th percentile), hurricane (43th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Crawford County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 91th percentile nationally. Crawford County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. A secondary tornado exposure at the 81th percentile nationally means Crawford County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. For Crawford County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

Crawford County's composite risk score sits 16.1 points above the Arkansas county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Crawford County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Crawford County, AR?
Crawford County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 72th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Crawford County?
Crawford County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (91th percentile), tornado (81th percentile), flooding (71th percentile), earthquake (67th percentile), hurricane (43th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 91th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Crawford County risk compare to the Arkansas average?
Crawford County's composite risk percentile is 72th, compared to the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Crawford County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arkansas.
Is Crawford County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Crawford County's wildfire risk is at the 91th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Crawford County is at the 71th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Crawford County higher risk than average?
Crawford County's composite risk score of 72th percentile is above the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (91th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.