riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lake County Disaster Risk

Lake County, California

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

93th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#35

of 58 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

94th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 11% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lake County, California

Lake County's composite risk

Lake County scores 93.0 on the composite risk scale, earning a "Relatively Moderate" rating—above the national average and higher than California's state average of 88.7. This reflects meaningful exposure to multiple hazard types, particularly wildfire and earthquake risk.

Sixth most at-risk in California

Lake County ranks 6th in disaster risk among California's 58 counties, placing it squarely in the state's higher-risk tier. Only Los Angeles, Madera, Merced, Mendocino, and Marin counties face comparably elevated composite risks.

More exposed than regional peers

Lake County's 93.0 risk score significantly exceeds neighboring Lassen County (73.1) and matches the elevated risk profile of nearby North Bay counties. Its wildfire risk of 99.1 is among the state's highest, reflecting the region's fire-prone geography.

Wildfire and earthquake dominate

Lake County faces extreme wildfire risk (99.1 out of 100) and serious earthquake risk (97.0), making these the county's primary natural hazard concerns. Flood risk also scores high at 94.2, adding a third significant vulnerability that residents should monitor.

Prioritize comprehensive coverage

Given Lake County's very high wildfire, earthquake, and flood risks, homeowners should carry dedicated wildfire and earthquake insurance alongside standard homeowners policies. Review your coverage annually and ensure your home meets current defensible-space standards.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lake County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    97th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    94th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lake County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard risk in Lake County is higher than the majority of U.S. counties, with a national composite rank of 93th. Lake County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Lake County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 97th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (94th percentile), tornado (11th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for wildfire, Lake County residents should verify whether their insurance policy includes replacement cost coverage for structures and whether the insurer still writes new policies in this fire-risk zone. Alongside wildfire, earthquake at the 97th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Local USFS or Cal Fire (where applicable) fire risk maps and seasonal Red Flag Warning alerts from the National Weather Service are two free resources Lake County residents can use to stay ahead of rapidly changing wildfire conditions.

Regional Context

Lake County's composite risk score is within 4.3 points of the California county average — a close alignment that reflects a broadly representative hazard environment for this part of the state.

Is your household prepared for Lake County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lake County, CA?
Lake County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 93th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lake County?
Lake County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (99th percentile), earthquake (97th percentile), flooding (94th percentile), tornado (11th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lake County risk compare to the California average?
Lake County's composite risk percentile is 93th, compared to the California state average of 89th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Lake County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in California.
Is Lake County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Lake County's wildfire risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Lake County is at the 94th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Lake County higher risk than average?
Lake County's composite risk score of 93th percentile is above the California state average of 89th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (99th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.