riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

San Joaquin County Disaster Risk

San Joaquin County, California

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

99th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#17

of 58 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

98th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 49% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in San Joaquin County, California

San Joaquin County's risk exceeds U.S. average

San Joaquin County's composite risk score of 98.60 places it in the "Relatively High" category, well above typical U.S. county hazard levels. This score surpasses California's average of 88.72, indicating substantial multi-hazard exposure across the Central Valley.

Third-riskiest county in California state

San Joaquin ranks among California's top five most disaster-threatened counties, driven primarily by extreme earthquake (99.30) and flood (97.74) risks. The county's Central Valley location creates chronic flooding vulnerability during wet seasons.

Comparable risk to Sacramento County

San Joaquin (98.60) is nearly equivalent to neighboring Sacramento County (98.12) in overall risk, with both facing severe earthquake and flood threats. Both Central Valley counties significantly outpace rural San Benito (85.24).

Earthquakes and floods are twin threats

San Joaquin's earthquake risk (99.30) and flood risk (97.74) dominate the hazard profile, with the latter heightened by Delta waterways and winter storm patterns. Wildfire risk (91.98) adds a third significant threat during dry seasons.

Earthquake and flood coverage essential

San Joaquin residents must add earthquake coverage to standard policies immediately, and should evaluate flood insurance if located in mapped flood zones or near levees and waterways. These two hazards account for the vast majority of the county's disaster risk.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in San Joaquin County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    98th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    92th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: San Joaquin County

Risk Verdict

At the 99th percentile nationally, San Joaquin County is among the more hazard-exposed counties in the United States. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; San Joaquin County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is San Joaquin County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 98th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (92th percentile), tornado (49th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for earthquake exposure, San Joaquin County households benefit from practicing Drop, Cover, and Hold On — the protocol that minimizes injury during shaking. Getting under a sturdy table or desk and holding on until shaking stops is the key action. Flood at the 98th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for San Joaquin County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. Building age matters for earthquake risk in San Joaquin County: structures built before local seismic code adoption are statistically more vulnerable. Contacting the local building department about retrofit programs can reveal whether your structure qualifies for mitigation assistance.

Regional Context

At 9.9 points above the California state average, San Joaquin County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical California county.

Is your household prepared for San Joaquin County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in San Joaquin County, CA?
San Joaquin County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 99th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect San Joaquin County?
San Joaquin County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (99th percentile), flooding (98th percentile), wildfire (92th percentile), tornado (49th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does San Joaquin County risk compare to the California average?
San Joaquin County's composite risk percentile is 99th, compared to the California state average of 89th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means San Joaquin County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in California.
Is San Joaquin County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, San Joaquin County's earthquake risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, San Joaquin County is at the 98th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is San Joaquin County higher risk than average?
San Joaquin County's composite risk score of 99th percentile is above the California state average of 89th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (99th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.