riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

El Paso County Disaster Risk

El Paso County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

94th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

95th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 75% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in El Paso County, Colorado

El Paso faces near-extreme disaster risk

El Paso County scores 94.05 on composite disaster risk, rated Relatively Moderate—more than double Colorado's state average of 40.67. This high score reflects critical vulnerability across nearly every hazard category.

Highest-risk county in Colorado

El Paso ranks as Colorado's most hazard-exposed county, surpassing even Denver in composite risk at 94.05. The county encompasses Colorado Springs and sprawling suburbs, concentrating millions of people in high-hazard zones.

Riskier than Denver and Douglas combined

El Paso's score of 94.05 matches Denver (95.23) and exceeds Douglas (88.71), making it the most vulnerable county in the state. Only Elbert (36.58) and Fremont (68.58) nearby show substantially lower risk.

Wildfires, tornadoes, and floods threaten equally

El Paso residents face wildfire risk of 99.27 (nearly maximum), tornado risk of 96.82, and flood risk of 94.97. Earthquake risk of 75.10 adds a fourth major threat to this high-hazard county.

Maximum insurance protection is non-negotiable

El Paso County homeowners must secure separate flood and earthquake policies, plus comprehensive wildfire and wind coverage on their standard policy. Consider upgrading to high replacement-cost limits given the county's exposure and rapid growth.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in El Paso County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    97th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    95th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: El Paso County

Risk Verdict

El Paso County registers a moderately elevated natural disaster risk, ranking at the 94th percentile across all U.S. counties. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in El Paso County.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is El Paso County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 97th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (95th percentile), earthquake (75th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as El Paso County's primary hazard at the 99th percentile nationally. For El Paso County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. The county's tornado exposure at the 97th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. El Paso County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

El Paso County falls 53.4 points above Colorado's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for El Paso County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in El Paso County, CO?
El Paso County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 94th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect El Paso County?
El Paso County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (99th percentile), tornado (97th percentile), flooding (95th percentile), earthquake (75th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does El Paso County risk compare to the Colorado average?
El Paso County's composite risk percentile is 94th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means El Paso County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is El Paso County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, El Paso County's wildfire risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, El Paso County is at the 95th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is El Paso County higher risk than average?
El Paso County's composite risk score of 94th percentile is above the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (99th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.