riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Larimer County Disaster Risk

Larimer County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

90th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#7

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

89th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 81% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Larimer County, Colorado

Larimer faces serious, multi-hazard disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 90.14 and a Relatively Moderate rating, Larimer County experiences disaster exposure well above the U.S. average. This elevated risk stems from exposure to multiple simultaneous hazards—flooding, wildfire, tornadoes, and seismic activity all pose genuine threats.

Colorado's highest-risk county overall

Larimer's 90.14 score far exceeds Colorado's 40.67 state average, making it the riskiest county in the entire state for composite natural disaster exposure. This profile reflects the county's size, population density, geography, and exposure to hazards at every elevation and in every season.

Dramatically riskier than surrounding counties

Larimer (90.14) faces triple the risk of Logan County (58.75) to its northeast and nearly four times the exposure of Lake County (5.66) to the west. Among northern Colorado's main population centers, Larimer carries by far the highest compound disaster burden.

Wildfires, tornadoes, and floods all major threats

Wildfire risk scores 97.68—the state's highest—reflecting heavily forested foothills and rapid fire spread during drought. Tornado risk at 90.55 is exceptional for Colorado; flood risk at 89.44 reflects both mountain snowmelt and Front Range storm activity, with the 2013 floods serving as a stark reminder.

Comprehensive coverage essential for Larimer residents

Homeowners must carry wildfire insurance with defensible space coverage, flood insurance (mandatory if in a designated zone), and coverage for wind and hail damage from tornadoes and severe storms. Bundle these coverages strategically, document high-value property, and maintain emergency plans for rapid evacuation—Larimer's multi-hazard exposure demands active preparedness.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Larimer County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    91th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    89th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Larimer County

Risk Verdict

Larimer County registers a moderately elevated natural disaster risk, ranking at the 90th percentile across all U.S. counties. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in Larimer County.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Larimer County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 91th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (89th percentile), earthquake (81th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as Larimer County's primary hazard at the 98th percentile nationally. For Larimer County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. A secondary tornado exposure at the 91th percentile nationally means Larimer County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Larimer County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Larimer County falls 49.5 points above Colorado's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Larimer County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Larimer County, CO?
Larimer County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 90th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Larimer County?
Larimer County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (98th percentile), tornado (91th percentile), flooding (89th percentile), earthquake (81th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Larimer County risk compare to the Colorado average?
Larimer County's composite risk percentile is 90th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Larimer County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is Larimer County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Larimer County's wildfire risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Larimer County is at the 89th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Larimer County higher risk than average?
Larimer County's composite risk score of 90th percentile is above the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (98th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.