riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Moffat County Disaster Risk

Moffat County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

12th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#48

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

31th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 3% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 50% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Moffat County, Colorado

Moffat County's Risk: Low but Concentrated

Moffat County's composite risk score of 12.05 earns a "Very Low" rating, well below national averages and reflecting its remote northwestern Colorado location. However, this aggregate masks significant variation—wildfire risk in particular stands out as a genuine regional concern.

Among Colorado's Safer Counties Overall

Moffat County ranks among Colorado's lowest-risk counties with a composite score of 12.05, less than one-third the state average of 40.67. Its position reflects limited urban development and relatively sparse tornado and flood exposure.

Wildfire Risk Shared With Region

Moffat County's wildfire risk score of 87.47 mirrors the elevated exposure seen in neighboring counties like Montezuma (93.61) and Park (94.88), part of a broader pattern across Colorado's forested highlands. Earthquake risk at 49.71 is notably higher than Mineral or Ouray counties to the south, reflecting proximity to seismic zones.

Wildfire Dominates; Earthquake Secondary

Wildfire risk at 87.47 is Moffat County's overwhelming concern, reflecting forest coverage and dry conditions across northwestern Colorado. Earthquake risk of 49.71 ranks second, while tornado (2.70) and flood (30.69) risks remain relatively modest.

Wildfire Insurance Is Non-Negotiable

Moffat County residents must prioritize wildfire coverage, as standard homeowners policies typically exclude or severely limit wildfire damage claims. Supplemental wildfire insurance, combined with defensible space maintenance around your home, is essential given the county's 87.47 wildfire risk score.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Moffat County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    87th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    50th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    31th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Moffat County

Risk Verdict

Moffat County's overall natural disaster score at the 12th percentile puts it well below the national median for hazard exposure. Moffat County residents can take confidence from a 12th percentile ranking, but even lower-risk counties benefit from a practiced household communication plan and awareness of the specific hazards listed above.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Moffat County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 87th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 50th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (31th percentile), tornado (3th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With wildfire ranked at the 87th percentile nationally, Moffat County is in a zone where air quality can deteriorate rapidly before structures are threatened. An N95 respirator and a HEPA air purifier are practical items for Moffat County households to have on hand before fire season. A secondary earthquake exposure at the 50th percentile nationally means Moffat County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Defensible space, insurance review, and an evacuation plan are the three preparedness pillars for Moffat County households — and the insurance review is the one most often deferred by Moffat County residents and most costly to skip when a fire event actually occurs.

Regional Context

Moffat County's composite risk score sits 28.6 points below the Colorado county average, reflecting a more favorable hazard environment than the state typical.

Is your household prepared for Moffat County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Moffat County, CO?
Moffat County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 12th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Moffat County?
Moffat County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (87th percentile), earthquake (50th percentile), flooding (31th percentile), tornado (3th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 87th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Moffat County risk compare to the Colorado average?
Moffat County's composite risk percentile is 12th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Moffat County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is Moffat County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Moffat County's wildfire risk is at the 87th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Moffat County is at the 31th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Moffat County a safe place to live?
Moffat County's composite risk score of 12th percentile is below the Colorado state average of 41th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 87th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.