riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

San Juan County Disaster Risk

San Juan County, Colorado

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

11th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#52

of 64 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

4th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 4% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 2% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 11% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in San Juan County, Colorado

San Juan's disaster risk is well below average

San Juan County scores 10.69 on the composite risk scale, earning a Very Low rating and placing it far below the national average. This score reflects relatively modest exposure to natural hazards compared to most U.S. counties.

Among Colorado's safest counties

San Juan ranks near the bottom of Colorado's risk spectrum, with its 10.69 score significantly lower than the state average of 40.67. The county faces substantially less overall disaster risk than most of its neighbors across the state.

Safest in a moderate-risk region

San Juan's risk profile stands out favorably against surrounding counties—it scores lower than San Miguel (19.12) and Montrose, making it one of the region's safer areas. Only Sedgwick County (6.52) and Washington County (11.99) rank lower statewide.

Wildfire and earthquakes matter most

Wildfire risk (33.62) dominates San Juan's hazard profile, followed by earthquake exposure (10.97). Flooding and tornado risks remain minimal, each scoring under 5.

Homeowners should prioritize wildfire coverage

While San Juan's overall risk is low, wildfire damage is possible and often excluded from standard policies—verify your homeowner's insurance covers wildfire or purchase a separate rider. Earthquake coverage is also available and worth evaluating, especially given the county's moderate seismic activity.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in San Juan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    34th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    11th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    4th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: San Juan County

Risk Verdict

San Juan County carries a low natural disaster risk burden, scoring at the 11th percentile under the FEMA National Risk Index. The 11th percentile national ranking is one lens; San Juan County residents also benefit from reviewing which specific hazard types drive the county's composite score and preparing accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is San Juan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 34th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 11th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (4th percentile), tornado (2th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as San Juan County's primary hazard at the 34th percentile nationally. For San Juan County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. A secondary earthquake exposure at the 11th percentile nationally means San Juan County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. San Juan County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Compared to the Colorado county average, San Juan County's composite score runs 30.0 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for San Juan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in San Juan County, CO?
San Juan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 11th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect San Juan County?
San Juan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (34th percentile), earthquake (11th percentile), flooding (4th percentile), tornado (2th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 34th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does San Juan County risk compare to the Colorado average?
San Juan County's composite risk percentile is 11th, compared to the Colorado state average of 41th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means San Juan County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Colorado.
Is San Juan County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, San Juan County's wildfire risk is at the 34th percentile nationally. This is below the national median, indicating relatively lower exposure. For flooding specifically, San Juan County is at the 4th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is San Juan County a safe place to live?
San Juan County's composite risk score of 11th percentile is below the Colorado state average of 41th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 34th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.