riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Monroe County Disaster Risk

Monroe County, Florida

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

92th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#28

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

99th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 26% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Monroe County, Florida

Monroe's risk remains well above average

Monroe County scores 91.60 on composite disaster risk with a relatively moderate rating, placing it well above the national average despite its smaller size. The score reflects extreme exposure to water-based hazards concentrated in its island geography. While rating as moderate statewide, Monroe's actual vulnerability is significantly higher than most U.S. counties.

Moderate ranking masks extreme exposure

Monroe's 91.60 score exceeds Florida's state average of 75.74 by over 15 points, earning a mid-to-upper ranking statewide. The county's risk profile is narrowly focused on water hazards rather than broadly distributed across multiple threats, which explains its moderate rather than high rating. In flood and hurricane risk specifically, Monroe ranks among Florida's most vulnerable.

Island county faces unique water risks

Monroe County's 91.60 score is comparable to nearby coastal counties but with a distinctly different hazard profile—it has extreme flood risk (98.80) yet minimal tornado risk (25.64) due to its Keys geography. While Miami-Dade and Martin counties share similar hurricane exposure, Monroe's island position creates singular vulnerability to storm surge and sea-level rise. The Keys face hazards others don't.

Flooding and hurricanes are existential

Monroe County faces the state's most extreme flood risk at 98.80 and near-maximum hurricane risk at 98.00, reflecting its low-lying island chain position. Unlike most Florida counties, tornado risk is minimal at 25.64 due to the Keys' maritime climate. For Monroe residents, water represents virtually all disaster risk; wind and storm surge shape the county's hazard landscape.

Flood insurance is absolutely essential

With flood risk at 98.80—the highest in Florida—Monroe County residents must carry flood insurance regardless of flood zone designation; it's simply non-negotiable. Hurricane insurance with surge protection is equally critical given 98.00 risk. Invest in elevation, waterproofing, and backup power systems, as infrastructure disruption following storms is routine.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Monroe County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    98th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    62th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Monroe County

Risk Verdict

Monroe County registers a moderately elevated natural disaster risk, ranking at the 92th percentile across all U.S. counties. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in Monroe County.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Monroe County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 98th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (62th percentile), tornado (26th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Monroe County's dominant hazard is flooding, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally. In addition to flood insurance, residents should identify their nearest evacuation shelter and store key documents in waterproof containers. Alongside flooding, hurricane exposure at the 98th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. Monroe County's county emergency management office publishes hazard-specific guidance tailored to local conditions; bookmarking that resource and the county's alert system is a practical first step for any household.

Regional Context

Monroe County falls 15.9 points above Florida's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Monroe County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Monroe County, FL?
Monroe County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 92th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Monroe County?
Monroe County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (99th percentile), hurricane (98th percentile), wildfire (62th percentile), tornado (26th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Monroe County risk compare to the Florida average?
Monroe County's composite risk percentile is 92th, compared to the Florida state average of 76th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Monroe County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Florida.
Is Monroe County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Monroe County's flooding risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Monroe County higher risk than average?
Monroe County's composite risk score of 92th percentile is above the Florida state average of 76th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (99th percentile), along with hurricane and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.