riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Seminole County Disaster Risk

Seminole County, Florida

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

91th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#29

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

93th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Seminole County, Florida

Seminole's risk tops U.S. average

With a composite risk score of 91.44, Seminole County faces significantly higher natural disaster risk than the typical American county. This "Relatively Moderate" rating reflects above-average exposure to multiple hazards, particularly tornadoes and hurricanes that regularly threaten the region.

Well above Florida's baseline

Seminole's 91.44 score substantially exceeds Florida's state average of 75.74, placing it among the state's riskier counties. The county's tornado risk of 97.55 and hurricane risk of 94.66 are the primary drivers of this elevated statewide standing.

Riskier than nearby counties

Seminole faces notably higher overall risk than neighboring Suwannee County (71.34) and Sumter County (87.60). Its tornado risk of 97.55 is particularly acute compared to these adjacent areas, making severe convective weather a distinctive local concern.

Tornadoes and hurricanes dominate

Tornado risk scores 97.55 in Seminole—among the highest in the state—while hurricane risk reaches 94.66, exposing residents to severe wind and storm surge damage. Flooding also poses a substantial threat with a score of 92.75, particularly in low-lying and coastal-adjacent neighborhoods.

Comprehensive coverage is essential

Seminole residents should secure robust homeowners insurance that explicitly covers wind and hail damage from tornadoes and hurricanes, plus separate flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program. Consider reinforcing roof attachment, installing storm shutters, and maintaining a family emergency plan given the county's high tornado and hurricane exposure.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Seminole County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    95th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    93th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Seminole County

Risk Verdict

Seminole County faces a moderate natural disaster risk profile, ranking at the 91th percentile nationally under FEMA's composite risk model. This risk level calls for more than general awareness: insurance coverage review, a family communication plan, and a prepared go-bag are practical priorities.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Seminole County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 95th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (93th percentile), wildfire (92th percentile), earthquake (66th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado risk is Seminole County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 98th percentile nationally. For Seminole County households, the most protective action available is identifying a reinforced interior room on the lowest floor — a bathroom, closet, or central hallway away from windows. The secondary hurricane hazard at the 95th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Seminole County's preparedness calendar, since hurricane and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. A battery-powered NOAA All Hazards weather radio with an auto-alert tone is the highest-leverage single item for tornado preparedness in Seminole County, since it delivers warnings even when power is out and phone networks are congested.

Regional Context

Seminole County's composite risk score sits 15.7 points above the Florida county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Seminole County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Seminole County, FL?
Seminole County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 91th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Seminole County?
Seminole County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (98th percentile), hurricane (95th percentile), flooding (93th percentile), wildfire (92th percentile), earthquake (66th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Seminole County risk compare to the Florida average?
Seminole County's composite risk percentile is 91th, compared to the Florida state average of 76th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Seminole County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Florida.
Is Seminole County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Seminole County's tornado risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Seminole County is at the 93th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Seminole County higher risk than average?
Seminole County's composite risk score of 91th percentile is above the Florida state average of 76th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (98th percentile), along with hurricane and flooding and wildfire and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.