riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Osceola County Disaster Risk

Osceola County, Florida

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

92th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#26

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

92th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 46% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Osceola County, Florida

Osceola faces moderate national risk

Osceola County's composite risk score of 91.95 places it well above the national average, reflecting significant exposure to multiple hazards. While rated Relatively Moderate, the county outranks most U.S. counties in overall disaster risk, driven primarily by hurricane and wildfire threats.

Middle of the pack in Florida

With a score of 91.95, Osceola ranks as a moderately risky county within Florida, sitting 16 points above the state average of 75.74. The county faces greater exposure than most inland Florida communities but less than coastal powerhouses like Palm Beach and Pinellas.

Higher risk than central neighbors

Osceola's 91.95 score exceeds Polk County's 96.53 slightly lower inland exposure but trails the more hurricane-exposed counties to its west and south. Putnam County to the north registers 79.74, showing how distance from the coast significantly reduces composite risk in Florida.

Hurricanes and wildfires dominate

Osceola faces exceptional wildfire risk at 94.82 and hurricane exposure at 94.16, making storm preparation and landscape management critical priorities. Tornado risk of 93.61 adds another layer of concern, though flood risk at 92.08 remains substantial given the county's low-lying terrain.

Ensure comprehensive coverage now

Given Osceola's high hurricane, wildfire, and tornado risks, homeowners should verify robust wind and hail coverage in their policies, as standard homeowners insurance often excludes wildfires. A separate flood policy is essential; even moderate rain can overwhelm drainage systems in low-elevation areas.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Osceola County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    95th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    94th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    94th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Osceola County

Risk Verdict

With a composite score at the 92th percentile, Osceola County sits above the national median for natural hazard exposure. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Osceola County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Osceola County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 95th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 94th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (94th percentile), flood (92th percentile), earthquake (46th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 95th percentile nationally for wildfire risk, Osceola County households benefit from creating defensible space — a buffer of reduced vegetation around structures — and reviewing whether homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage in this region. The county's hurricane exposure at the 94th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. Enrolling in the county's wireless emergency alert system and keeping a vehicle at least half-full during peak fire season are low-cost habits that dramatically reduce evacuation lag time for Osceola County residents.

Regional Context

At 16.2 points above the Florida state average, Osceola County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Florida county.

Is your household prepared for Osceola County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Osceola County, FL?
Osceola County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 92th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Osceola County?
Osceola County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (95th percentile), hurricane (94th percentile), tornado (94th percentile), flooding (92th percentile), earthquake (46th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 95th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Osceola County risk compare to the Florida average?
Osceola County's composite risk percentile is 92th, compared to the Florida state average of 76th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Osceola County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Florida.
Is Osceola County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Osceola County's wildfire risk is at the 95th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Osceola County is at the 92th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Osceola County higher risk than average?
Osceola County's composite risk score of 92th percentile is above the Florida state average of 76th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (95th percentile), along with hurricane and tornado and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.