riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Ada County Disaster Risk

Ada County, Idaho

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

88th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#1

of 44 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

90th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 27% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 88% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Ada County, Idaho

Ada County faces well above-average disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 87.75, Ada County ranks in the relatively moderate category—significantly higher than the national average of 50. This elevated score reflects the county's exposure to multiple hazard types, particularly wildfire and earthquake risks that far exceed typical American counties.

The riskiest county in Idaho by far

Ada County's composite risk score of 87.75 towers above Idaho's state average of 38.51, making it the most disaster-prone county in the state. This 2.3x multiplier over the state baseline reflects Ada's unique geography and its role as Idaho's urban and economic hub.

Ada far exceeds risk in surrounding counties

Ada County's score of 87.75 dwarfs neighboring Boise County (48.92) and Adams County (39.57), which sit near or below the state average. The dramatic difference underscores Ada's distinct exposure profile compared to its more rural neighbors.

Wildfires and earthquakes dominate your risk

Ada County faces a wildfire risk score of 98.25 and an earthquake risk of 88.23—both among the highest in the nation. Floods also pose serious concern with a risk score of 89.82, making multi-hazard preparedness essential for Ada County residents and businesses.

Comprehensive coverage is critical for Ada

Standard homeowners insurance typically excludes wildfire and earthquake damage—coverage gaps that can be financially devastating in Ada County. Residents should urgently explore wildfire, earthquake, and flood insurance options, and ensure emergency preparedness plans address all three major hazards.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Ada County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    90th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    88th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Ada County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard risk in Ada County is higher than the majority of U.S. counties, with a national composite rank of 88th. Ada County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Ada County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 90th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (88th percentile), tornado (27th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 98th percentile nationally for wildfire, Ada County residents should verify whether their insurance policy includes replacement cost coverage for structures and whether the insurer still writes new policies in this fire-risk zone. A secondary flood exposure at the 90th percentile nationally means Ada County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Local USFS or Cal Fire (where applicable) fire risk maps and seasonal Red Flag Warning alerts from the National Weather Service are two free resources Ada County residents can use to stay ahead of rapidly changing wildfire conditions.

Regional Context

A composite score 49.2 points above the Idaho state average puts Ada County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Ada County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Ada County, ID?
Ada County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 88th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Ada County?
Ada County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (98th percentile), flooding (90th percentile), earthquake (88th percentile), tornado (27th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Ada County risk compare to the Idaho average?
Ada County's composite risk percentile is 88th, compared to the Idaho state average of 39th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Ada County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Idaho.
Is Ada County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Ada County's wildfire risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Ada County is at the 90th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Ada County higher risk than average?
Ada County's composite risk score of 88th percentile is above the Idaho state average of 39th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (98th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.