riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Madison County Disaster Risk

Madison County, Idaho

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

59th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#11

of 44 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

58th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 70% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 10% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 88% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Madison County, Idaho

Madison County faces above-average disaster risk

Madison County's composite risk score of 58.62 places it well above the national average, reflecting significant exposure to multiple hazard types. The county's "Relatively Low" rating indicates moderate concern compared to the highest-risk U.S. counties, but residents should remain prepared for potential natural disasters.

Riskier than most Idaho counties

With a score of 58.62, Madison County ranks among Idaho's higher-risk counties, substantially above the state average of 38.51. This elevated positioning reflects the county's particular vulnerability to earthquakes and wildfires compared to its neighbors statewide.

Madison stands out in Southeast Idaho

Madison County's risk score of 58.62 far exceeds nearby Minidoka County (20.48) and Oneida County (1.40), making it the riskiest in its immediate region. Only Shoshone County in Idaho's panhandle registers higher overall risk at 62.85, highlighting Madison's distinct hazard profile.

Earthquakes and wildfires drive risk here

Madison County faces an earthquake risk score of 87.60—one of Idaho's highest—reflecting its location in a seismically active region where tremors pose real threats to homes and infrastructure. Wildfire risk at 70.26 compounds concerns, as vegetation in the surrounding valleys and mountains creates seasonal fire exposure that can impact air quality and property safety.

Secure earthquake and wildfire coverage now

Given Madison County's elevated earthquake risk, homeowners should verify that their insurance includes earthquake coverage, as standard policies exclude it in most states. Additionally, residents in fire-prone areas should ensure their homeowners policy covers wildfire damage and maintain defensible space around their properties by clearing debris and trimming trees.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Madison County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    88th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    70th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    58th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Madison County

Risk Verdict

Madison County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 59th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Madison County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Madison County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 88th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 70th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (58th percentile), tornado (10th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Earthquake risk is Madison County's leading natural hazard, ranked at the 88th percentile nationally. Securing tall furniture, water heaters, and bookcases to walls with anti-tip hardware is among the simplest and most effective life-safety measures households can take. Alongside earthquake exposure, Madison County's wildfire risk at the 70th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. Madison County residents should locate the main gas shutoff valve and keep an appropriate wrench nearby — gas leaks cause a significant share of earthquake-related injuries and fires, and the shutoff step is safe to take immediately after shaking stops.

Regional Context

Madison County's composite risk score sits 20.1 points above the Idaho county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Madison County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Madison County, ID?
Madison County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 59th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Madison County?
Madison County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (88th percentile), wildfire (70th percentile), flooding (58th percentile), tornado (10th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 88th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Madison County risk compare to the Idaho average?
Madison County's composite risk percentile is 59th, compared to the Idaho state average of 39th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Madison County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Idaho.
Is Madison County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Madison County's earthquake risk is at the 88th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Madison County is at the 58th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Madison County higher risk than average?
Madison County's composite risk score of 59th percentile is above the Idaho state average of 39th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (88th percentile), along with wildfire and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.