riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Valley County Disaster Risk

Valley County, Idaho

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

56th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#12

of 44 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

56th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 56% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 4% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Valley County, Idaho

Valley County ranks relatively low nationally

Valley County's composite risk score of 55.63 places it in the relatively low category despite exceeding the national average for many individual hazards. The county remains safer than many U.S. regions, though it carries higher combined risk than several Idaho neighbors.

Highest-risk county profiled here

Valley County scores 55.63 against Idaho's state average of 38.51, making it the riskiest among the four profiled counties. Its elevated composite score reflects particularly acute wildfire exposure within the state.

Most exposed to disasters locally

Valley County (55.63) faces substantially higher combined disaster risk than Teton County (29.45), Washington County (30.31), and Twin Falls County (46.95). The county's risk profile makes it the most hazard-exposed in this regional group.

Wildfire risk is exceptionally high

Valley County experiences the state's most extreme wildfire risk at 97.46, far surpassing all neighboring counties and most U.S. regions. Earthquake exposure (66.16) and flood risk (55.79) add secondary layers of concern, while tornado risk remains negligible at 3.59.

Wildfire insurance is essential here

Valley County residents face exceptional wildfire exposure, making specialized fire and wildfire coverage non-negotiable for homeowners. Pairing wildfire protection with earthquake coverage addresses your county's two dominant natural disaster threats.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Valley County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    66th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    56th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Valley County

Risk Verdict

Valley County sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 56th percentile across all U.S. counties. Understanding the specific hazards behind Valley County's ranking helps residents prioritize where to direct emergency planning efforts.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Valley County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 66th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (56th percentile), tornado (4th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 97th percentile nationally for wildfire, Valley County residents should verify whether their insurance policy includes replacement cost coverage for structures and whether the insurer still writes new policies in this fire-risk zone. A secondary earthquake exposure at the 66th percentile nationally means Valley County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Local USFS or Cal Fire (where applicable) fire risk maps and seasonal Red Flag Warning alerts from the National Weather Service are two free resources Valley County residents can use to stay ahead of rapidly changing wildfire conditions.

Regional Context

A composite score 17.1 points above the Idaho state average puts Valley County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Valley County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Valley County, ID?
Valley County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 56th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Valley County?
Valley County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (97th percentile), earthquake (66th percentile), flooding (56th percentile), tornado (4th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Valley County risk compare to the Idaho average?
Valley County's composite risk percentile is 56th, compared to the Idaho state average of 39th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Valley County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Idaho.
Is Valley County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Valley County's wildfire risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Valley County is at the 56th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Valley County higher risk than average?
Valley County's composite risk score of 56th percentile is above the Idaho state average of 39th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (97th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.