riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Jefferson County Disaster Risk

Jefferson County, Illinois

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

77th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#27

of 102 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

59th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 59% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 10% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 39% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Jefferson County, Illinois

Jefferson County faces above-average disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 77.23, Jefferson County ranks as relatively low risk but significantly exceeds Illinois's state average of 54.46. This places the county in the higher-risk category nationally, driven primarily by severe earthquake and tornado exposure.

Higher-risk county in Illinois rankings

Jefferson County's 77.23 score ranks it among the riskier counties statewide, well above the state average of 54.46. The county's earthquake risk of 95.83 is particularly notable, putting it in the highest tier for seismic activity in the state.

Riskier than most nearby counties

Jefferson County's composite score of 77.23 exceeds neighboring Johnson County (51.08) and Knox County (57.16) significantly. Only Kane County to the north approaches similar risk levels, making Jefferson an outlier in the region for earthquake and tornado exposure.

Earthquakes and tornadoes dominate here

Earthquake risk reaches 95.83—nearly double the state average—while tornado risk stands at a substantial 79.07. Flooding poses moderate concern at 58.97, meaning residents face compound hazard exposure across multiple disaster types.

Prioritize earthquake and storm coverage now

Standard homeowners policies rarely cover earthquakes or tornadoes; Jefferson County residents should actively purchase separate earthquake insurance and ensure comprehensive storm coverage. With combined earthquake and tornado scores exceeding 170, reinforced foundation anchoring and a safe room for severe weather are practical investments.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Jefferson County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    96th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    79th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    59th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Jefferson County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 77th, Jefferson County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Jefferson County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Jefferson County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 96th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 79th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (59th percentile), hurricane (39th percentile), wildfire (10th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 96th percentile nationally for earthquake exposure, Jefferson County households benefit from practicing Drop, Cover, and Hold On — the protocol that minimizes injury during shaking. Getting under a sturdy table or desk and holding on until shaking stops is the key action. Tornado at the 79th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Jefferson County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. Building age matters for earthquake risk in Jefferson County: structures built before local seismic code adoption are statistically more vulnerable. Contacting the local building department about retrofit programs can reveal whether your structure qualifies for mitigation assistance.

Regional Context

At 22.8 points above the Illinois state average, Jefferson County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Illinois county.

Is your household prepared for Jefferson County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Jefferson County, IL?
Jefferson County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 77th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Jefferson County?
Jefferson County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (96th percentile), tornado (79th percentile), flooding (59th percentile), hurricane (39th percentile), wildfire (10th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 96th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Jefferson County risk compare to the Illinois average?
Jefferson County's composite risk percentile is 77th, compared to the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Jefferson County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Illinois.
Is Jefferson County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Jefferson County's earthquake risk is at the 96th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Jefferson County is at the 59th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Jefferson County higher risk than average?
Jefferson County's composite risk score of 77th percentile is above the Illinois state average of 55th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (96th percentile), along with tornado and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.